Oops...I didn't see that Yahoo Pulled some Shenanigans, here is the correct list:

Based on a survey of movie goers

1. Indiana Jones 4 (? - Spielberg/Paramount)
2. Dark Knight (NT- Warner)
3. National Treasure 2 (BD - Disney)
4. American Gangster (HD - Universal)
5. Narnia: Prince Caspian (BD - Disney)
6. Iron Man (HD - Paramount)
7. I Am Legend (NT - Warner)
8. Get Smart (NT - Warner)
9. The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor (HD- Universal)
10. Charlie Wilsons War(HD- Universal)


Wow, thats 4 HD Exclusives, 2 Blu Ray exclusives, three dual format movies, and one question mark in Indiana Jones. Blu Ray had a banner year in 2007 with new movies like Spiderman and POTC but HD DVD looks like it will take that title for 2008.


Link (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20071010/film_nm/survey1_dc)

PS. Amazingly enough, after three edits the ratio of HD:BD:NT didn't change. ;)

Well, you have to count Indiana Jones 4 as "neither" for the time being, since it's directed by Spielberg and it won't see the light of day on either format for a while.

Good point, I edited the OP

Where does this list come from?

I'm sorry, but Iron Man on top? A January release on the list? Get Smart and Speed Racer?

Seriously...what is this. Red certainly has a good slate of titles that surpasses 2007 in terms of exclusives, but this list is silly. That and as far as we know, Indiana Jones is going to be exempt from any sort of exclusivity, right?

I'm not accusing the OP of playing format wars or anything...I just...don't get the list. This surely isn't what I'd be predicting in terms of box office potency. Dark Knight and Indy 4 and Caspian and Wall-E will all smash most those other films in BO $. Iron Man...I don't even think can do 150m. Those 4 will all do 200 domestic no prob. Voters these days.

I can safely say I won't be watching any of those :-) Wellll, maybe Indiana Jones for nostalgia's sake (even though Harrison Ford must be about 70 by now?)

Where does this list come from?

I'm sorry, but Iron Man on top? A January release on the list? Get Smart and Speed Racer?

Seriously...what is this. Red certainly has a good slate of titles that surpasses 2007 in terms of exclusives, but this list is silly. That and as far as we know, Indiana Jones is going to be exempt from any sort of exclusivity, right?

I'm not accusing the OP of playing format wars or anything...I just...don't get the list. This surely isn't what I'd be predicting in terms of box office potency. Dark Knight and Indy 4 and Caspian and Wall-E will all smash most those other films in BO $. Iron Man...I don't even think can do 150m. Those 4 will all do 200 domestic no prob.

The link was "Yahoo's most searched movies with upcoming releases in 2008."

It was related to a survery of U.S. movie-goers when they asked "what is the most anticipated movies that are slated for release in the next year?", which came out to be:

1. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

2. The Dark Knight (Batman Begins 2)

3. National Treasure: Book of Secrets

4. American Gangster

5. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

6. Iron Man

7. I Am Legend

8. Get Smart

9. The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor

10. Charlie Wilson's War

11. Hancock

12. Beowulf

13. His Dark Materials: The Golden Compass

14. Mamma Mia!

15. The Incredible Hulk

16. Speed Racer

17. Step Brothers

18. Bee Movie

19. Mr. Magnorium's Wonder Emporium

20. Starship Dave

American Gangster premiers on 11/2 so does that qualify as a 2008 film?

American Gangster premiers on 11/2 so does that qualify as a 2008 film?

For home video release it does. That certainly has potential to be a sizable hit.

The link was "Yahoo's most searched movies with upcoming releases in 2008."



Ah...I was sitting here thinking this was someone's prediction on box office for the upcoming year. I'm like...yeah, I don't think so.

I saw the article on yahoo as well. No surprises there -- HD DVD definitely has the lion's share of exclusive hits in 2008 (as well as the 4th quarter of 2007, for that matter). Iron Man alone will be the #1 movie of 2008, no doubt in my mind. Of course, Harry Potter is scheduled for holiday season, 2008 and should also be on the list.

Iron Man alone will be the #1 movie of 2008, no doubt in my mind.

Are you being serious?

I mean...for real? I can't even see this thing making 150 million domestic.

Well, for me you forgot to add one to your list: Harry Potter and The Half-Blood Prince. It's being released Nov. 2008. Absolutely looking foward to The Dark Knight as well!

Edited the list to fix me not properly reading the yahoo article. :)

Are you being serious?

I mean...for real? I can't even see this thing making 150 million domestic.

This movie will make $300+ million in 2008. It's by far the most anticipated summer blockbuster coming. The Dark Knight will be up there as well.

My question is why you feel it won't be a major hit?? It was the talk of Comic Con this year and has had incredible hype for months already.

Wheres 'Star Trek?'

LotR in HD. You know they're coming.

Wait, so Fox and Sony aren't working on any big movies for next year? That seems a bit strange to me.

This movie will make $300+ million in 2008. It's by far the most anticipated summer blockbuster coming. The Dark Knight will be up there as well.

My question is why you feel it won't be a major hit?? It was the talk of Comic Con this year and has had incredible hype for months already.

Well, I've seen the trailer, I see who's making it, I know how popular Iron Man is...

I'm just not getting anywhere near a 300 million dollar vibe off this film. I could be wrong obviously, but at this point, I would not bet money on this film being anywhere near the top of the year. Wouldn't you say this has a better chance of performing like a X-Men/Fantastic Four/Hulk rather than a Spiderman? I mean...I'm just not seeing it. ComicCon buzz doesn't equal 300 million. Indy Jones...Narnia...Harry Potter...Dark Knight...those are the biggies. This thing, even assuming it reviews well...just doesn't come off as one of those. Granted, part of me just doesn't think it looks very good either, but the marquee value of Iron Man just ain't anywhere near those others. I don't think it'll bomb or anything...but you're predicting huge, and I'd put money down it won't be I feel so confident about my thoughts on it. Simply put, the marquee value isn't on the level of a Spiderman or HP...I'm not confident the film itself will be particularly good...it'll open well, perform decently, and that'll be that. It'll get swallowed up with a couple weeks by bigger movies. Only time will tell though...but that's my thoughts. 50-60 million opening, 120-150 million total is my current prediction. Things could change...but I've got no reason to think thhey will. Granted, it'll still be a hit...just not the number 1 movie you're talking about.

Wait, so Fox and Sony aren't working on any big movies for next year? That seems a bit strange to me.

They've got some big movies...a new Bond, Angels & Demons, a Will Smith superhero movie, new M Night movie, Pineapple Express even. But they're not as stand out sure fire hits...though certainly one might break out, and most likely some will. But certainly the more obvious stronger titles...at this point...are not coming from those studios. I mean one of Fox's big summer movies...is a sci-fi Eddie Murphy movie...that's...certainly questionable. And after Lady in the Water who knows if M Night will hit again.

Though the Bond and A&D movies are pretty much definite big hits. Fall releases though. I think as we get closer to the summer time, it'll become more clear which ones might actually be big hits though. Right now, it's easier to pinpoint titles that are based on established properties. And there, minus the two Sony fall movies...it's a hard call.

I'm most stoked about Sin City 2 anyway...which people think isn't happening but, well, I'm pretty sure is. I'vev seen dates and numbers on it. But...that's smaller scale anyway...but I want! So hopefully Weinstein gets their act together. Though it's a Disney title internationally so...at the very least. But again...not a heavy hitter compared to these others.

I have a question.

Ridley Scott is directing "American Gangster" and past history shows he likes his movies on blu-ray.

Does he fall into the "spielberg" clause if he so chooses?

Still trying to get a feeling for all this stuff.

Here's a top 20 from CNN Money.

1 - Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (May 22, 2008)
2 - The Dark Knight (Jul 18, 2008)
3 - National Treasure: Book of Secrets (Dec 21, 2007)
4 - American Gangster (Nov 2, 2007)
5 - The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian (May 16, 2008)
6 - Iron Man (May 2, 2008)
7 - I Am Legend (Dec 14, 2007)
8 - Get Smart (Jun 20, 2008)
9 - The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor (Aug 1, 2008)
10 - Charlie Wilson's War (Dec 25, 2007)
11 - Hancock (Jul 2, 2008)
12 - Beowulf (Nov 16, 2007)
13 - The Golden Compass (Dec 7, 2007)
14 - Mamma Mia! (Jul 18, 2008)
15 - The Incredible Hulk (Jun 13, 2008)
16 - Speed Racer (May 9, 2008)
17 - Step Brothers (Jul 25, 2008)
18 - Bee Movie (Nov 2, 2007)
19 - Mr. Magnorium's Wonder Emporium (Nov 16, 2007)
20 - Starship Dave (May 30)

Can I have Iron Man and American Gangster now please?

This movie will make $300+ million in 2008. It's by far the most anticipated summer blockbuster coming. The Dark Knight will be up there as well.

My question is why you feel it won't be a major hit?? It was the talk of Comic Con this year and has had incredible hype for months already.

300 mill worldwide, maybe.

Iron Man is a B hero and there's really nothing special about his character. They are trying to capture the "big robot go boom" audience that showed up for Transformers.

The Dark Knight will get close to 300 mill, domestic. Batman Begins was one of the best movies of the year in 2005, period. I can't find a person that has seen it and not liked it. It will be huge.

I have a question.

Ridley Scott is directing "American Gangster" and past history shows he likes his movies on blu-ray.

Does he fall into the "spielberg" clause if he so chooses?

Still trying to get a feeling for all this stuff.



Spielberg is in a league of his own. He is THE most successful commercial director ever, and has tons of clout. What does he also have, that allows him to have even more say so at Paramount? He's a major stakeholder of the company Paramount just purchased. You'll notice that Spielberg's ability to force his titles to be neutral is with Paramount/Dreamworks. With Universal, no such thing has happened...though they're not releasing those titles.

Simply put, Ridley just is not a person who's in a position to make such demands. I doubt Ridley even gets home video at 100% of revenue on his backend, let alone the ability to demand which format he gets. Granted, one might point to Scott's influence on a Spanish or something BD release...but a small international distributor ain't the same as Universal Studios. My favorite part of American Gangster though is still how Denzel got paid 40 million...or 20 million twice...to do that movie. So nice.

Well, we all have opinions (likes/dislikes for movies)..............but.........

- Does anyone really care about a movie with that old fool Ford in it? Maybe if it's a bit part - zero interest from me.

- I can see Iron Man doing really well, I hated the comic character as a kid & the trailer has my interest.

- Never know with the kiddie flicks, none seem all that "new" = not huge

- Batman will do well, if nothing else because of the last one

- Rev'n up the engine? Better be a special effects/action masterpiece or it's tank town on that one.

- step brothers? Who knows, for some reason folks are dumb enough to pay to see Will Farrell

- the hulk? Doubtful, too much sour taste leftover from the last one

- Mummy retread? Maybe

- I am legend & Charlie Wilson's War look to be successes

- Get Smart? Another trip to tank town for Mr Unfunny aka Carrell

Jeez, I just saw a Get Smart trailer - 3 day run & off to DVD. The phone booth scene is terrible....try, try......pause....shake = about as lame & predictable as it gets.

Personally looking forward to American Gangster, I am Legend, Batman, and Indiana Jones coincidentally all HD/Neutral.

I too am doubtful that Ironman will do Spiderman numbers. Marvel movies in general have left an awful taste in my mouth. People will have to catch on eventually.

The Golden Compass is one to watch. If it tanks, and it may with its anti-religion theme, then New-Line will go belly up and be sold to someone else. Will it be a blu or red studio that buys them?

What would make you think one movie tanking would sink New Line? They could live off of the LOTR residuals for another decade if they had to.

Iron Man, The Mummy, Batman and Indiana Jones are the only ones on that list that interest me personally.

I'll take them all, I have both players. :p

300 mill worldwide, maybe.

Iron Man is a B hero and there's really nothing special about his character. They are trying to capture the "big robot go boom" audience that showed up for Transformers.

I know a LOT of people that are pumped for Iron Man and aren't necessarily comic book nuts the way I am. I think the mixture of Jon Favreau and Robert Downey will save this from becoming a "big robot go boom" movie. Favreau likes to flesh his characters out and I expect nothing different here.

What would make you think one movie tanking would sink New Line? They could live off of the LOTR residuals for another decade if they had to.

I saw on several financial news channels that they were have money problems and put everything in to this one movie. I’ll try to find some news links.

Where is 10,000 B.C. ??

What is 10,000 BC?

some crappy roland emmerich movie...it's like Apocalypto meets Day after Tomorrow.

Well, I've seen the trailer, I see who's making it, I know how popular Iron Man is...

I'm just not getting anywhere near a 300 million dollar vibe off this film. I could be wrong obviously, but at this point, I would not bet money on this film being anywhere near the top of the year. Wouldn't you say this has a better chance of performing like a X-Men/Fantastic Four/Hulk rather than a Spiderman? I mean...I'm just not seeing it. ComicCon buzz doesn't equal 300 million. Indy Jones...Narnia...Harry Potter...Dark Knight...those are the biggies. This thing, even assuming it reviews well...just doesn't come off as one of those. Granted, part of me just doesn't think it looks very good either, but the marquee value of Iron Man just ain't anywhere near those others. I don't think it'll bomb or anything...but you're predicting huge, and I'd put money down it won't be I feel so confident about my thoughts on it. Simply put, the marquee value isn't on the level of a Spiderman or HP...I'm not confident the film itself will be particularly good...it'll open well, perform decently, and that'll be that. It'll get swallowed up with a couple weeks by bigger movies. Only time will tell though...but that's my thoughts. 50-60 million opening, 120-150 million total is my current prediction. Things could change...but I've got no reason to think thhey will. Granted, it'll still be a hit...just not the number 1 movie you're talking about.

I disagree. Comparing it to the Fantastic 4? Thats just mean. The Hulk and Iron Man will both do very well. I suspect they are going right after the Batman Begins formula. Both have great leads and flawed characters. X-Men 2 did 214M and X3 did 254M; throw in another 8% for increase in ticket price and you are really close to a 300M release. I think you will see Hulk at 150+ (would have been higher if not for the earlier debacle) and IM over 250 and if they are both good they could go higher. No one is saying SM numbers (334M Dom, 890M WW). Though imagine if SM would have been any good at all... Batman will have so much carry over equity it will be a monster hit whether or not its any good. I hope its atleast a fraction of Batman Begins, for my money the best superhero movie ever.

Why isn't Bond on these lists?? I LOVED Casino Royale.

I also think Narnia will underperform estimates. The first was mediocre at best and had no strong characters to bring audiences back for. I am concerned that Compass could be problematic. They seem to be having a hard time conveying a worthwhile viewing experience. Not that its going to be bad but if they can't show you why its going to be good that is a major problem. Ask Stardust which is one of my favorite films of the summer and couldn't get anything going at all.

I disagree. Comparing it to the Fantastic 4? Thats just mean. The Hulk and Iron Man will both do very well. I suspect they are going right after the Batman Begins formula. Both have great leads and flawed characters. X-Men 2 did 214M and X3 did 254M; throw in another 8% for increase in ticket price and you are really close to a 300M release. I think you will see Hulk at 150+ (would have been higher if not for the earlier debacle) and IM over 250 and if they are both good they could go higher. No one is saying SM numbers (334M Dom, 890M WW).

Batman will be big...no argument there.

Hulk is hard to call...the 60 million opening shows Hulk has an audience, but the last film DID leave a bad taste in a lot of people's mouths. I can't really gage that without some footage.

But Iron Man? What can I say, I'm so positive that all of you people thinking it's going to be huge is wrong that I'm going to keep saying it. Robert Downey Jr? He's not going to open the movie. Jon Favreau? He's not going to either. It's all on the popularity of Iron Man, and IM is second tier to even Hulk and X-Men and FF.

I absolutely think this film isn't going to do much more than a FF or X-Men (and when I say X-Men, I mean the FIRST X-Men...154 million at the box office). What can I say, 250 million...not going to happen. This film only has 2 weeks to make money before it gets absolutely slammed by the one two punch called Narnia/Indy 4. I have no belief, whatsoever, this film can open north of 60 million dollars. Not going to happen. I just dont' see where you guys are seeing this money. And you could argue it'll have legs because it'll just be a fantastic film...but I'm wary of that too. Will Iron Man do well? I think so, but I think you guys are way overboard on the real potential here.

some crappy roland emmerich movie...it's like Apocalypto meets Day after Tomorrow.

Since I like both of these films quite a lot (especially Apocalyto...) it sounds like something I could like a lot. But I'm pretty certain 10.000 BC is not got gonna be a mix of these two films. Do you even have a clue what it's about ? Did you even see any of the films tou named ? Oh of course you do, you must have seen it. How could you otherwise say what you said.

I also think Narnia will underperform estimates. The first was mediocre at best and had no strong characters to bring audiences back for. I am concerned that Compass could be problematic. They seem to be having a hard time conveying a worthwhile viewing experience. Not that its going to be bad but if they can't show you why its going to be good that is a major problem. Ask Stardust which is one of my favorite films of the summer and couldn't get anything going at all.

I took my daughters to see Stardust and we all loved it. Especially my wife and daughters.

I also think Narnia will underperform estimates. The first was mediocre at best and had no strong characters to bring audiences back for. I am concerned that Compass could be problematic. They seem to be having a hard time conveying a worthwhile viewing experience. Not that its going to be bad but if they can't show you why its going to be good that is a major problem. Ask Stardust which is one of my favorite films of the summer and couldn't get anything going at all.

Stardust had no marquee value, had no Disney brand name on it...it never had the potential of Narnia.

And while I too didn't care for Narnia...I still think it'll do well. I mean, not being that great didn't hurt Harry Potter...and I thought the first film sucked. But I have to look beyond my own opinion, and the reality is Narnia was well received, as was Harry Potter. As such, Caspian will benefit accordingly and I believe, have no problem succeeding. Whether it'll make 300 million is the question, but I don't think 250 million is hard to believe at all.

Golden Compass IS hard to call...it could break out, or just piddle through like Eragon. Hard to say at this point, but it does have known source material. Just not quite at the level of a Narnia or LoTR.

Iron Man will be a huge hit. I never followed the comics and knew nothing about Iron Man before I saw the trailer. I was hooked from then on and cannot wait for the movie. It is one of the most anticipated movies from people I talk to at work.

I think Robert Downey Jr. will be perfect for this role. Iron Man is a cocky playboy rich type and from the looks of the trailer, Downey seems to have that played brilliantly. This movie will be a total showcase of the amazing special effects that we can do today.

I see this at least doing $300 mil domestically.

Not sure if this would count since it is being released at the end of next year, but what about Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince?

I disagree. Comparing it to the Fantastic 4? Thats just mean. The Hulk and Iron Man will both do very well. I suspect they are going right after the Batman Begins formula. Both have great leads and flawed characters. X-Men 2 did 214M and X3 did 254M; throw in another 8% for increase in ticket price and you are really close to a 300M release. I think you will see Hulk at 150+ (would have been higher if not for the earlier debacle) and IM over 250 and if they are both good they could go higher. No one is saying SM numbers (334M Dom, 890M WW). Though imagine if SM would have been any good at all... Batman will have so much carry over equity it will be a monster hit whether or not its any good. I hope its atleast a fraction of Batman Begins, for my money the best superhero movie ever.

Why isn't Bond on these lists?? I LOVED Casino Royale.

Your overestimating Ironman big time. He's not a upper echelon comic book character like Batman, Spiderman, or the X-Men. The movie will pull in #'s more in the range of Ghost Rider and the Fantastic Four.

I can't see Iron Man getting near $300 million domestically, I think it'll be lucky to get close to $200 million - Batman will kill Iron Man.

From what I've seen trailer wise, I'm really looking forward to:

10,000 BC (though it looks a little lite on dialog, lol)
Iron Man
American Gangster
Bee Movie
Speed Racer
Dark Knight

10,000 B.c

I saw on several financial news channels that they were have money problems and put everything in to this one movie. I’ll try to find some news links.

OK, maybe its not as bad as I was led to believe..
"If it’s a huge hit, I think our stock goes up within the Time Warner empire, and there’s more opportunity,” Mr. Emmerich said. If the film is a disaster, he added, the company’s prospects would likely darken..."

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/30/movies/30comp.html?em&ex=1189224000&en=fcf3a496d4afbff1&ei=5087%0A

The good new is that the rights overseas have been sold so it may come out on HD DVD somewhere long before it is available in the US.

Right now I only have

Indiania Jones
The Dark knight
I am Legend

On my list.

I saw Get Smart at a test screening a few weeks ago. I can't give any specifics because I signed an NDA, but all I can say is this will not come close to being a blockbuster. I wouldn't expect it to last more than 2 weeks in theaters.

Iron Man should be really great. That being said, there are a whack of catelogue titles that get me a lot more excited and interested than these movies.