AVS Forum Addicted Member
Join Date: Dec 1999
Location: Stop making curved screens
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".... the question as to whether every movie is going to require a call home. I'd guess there just isn't any chance of that for HD-DVD or BluRay."
Richard confirmed this is the case for BluRay, I don't even need to hear it's the case for HD-DVD -- I'm sure it is.
Now, can we return to "which side should someone pick?" for a second.
There is simply not any reason why you or I should care what has higher manufacturing startup costs. To support HD-DVD for that reason is really quite nonsensical.
None of us have a stake in any existing replicator and it's crystal clear that:
* There will be replicators for BluRay, even if the existing replicators are not them.
* The cost to replicate BluRay discs will be at worst marginally higher than the cost to replicate HD-DVD discs. The end-user price will be different by an infinitesimal amount as replication costs are a miniscule fraction of what a DVD "costs".
So when I read people in the industry say, "I like HD-DVD because existing replicators can start producing discs on the same line in an hour" I say, "So what?"
Seriously, that's just not an argument for us.
We -- the people -- need to care about things that matter to us:
* Video quality: bitrates, codecs, etc.
* Audio quality: bitrates, formats /codecs, etc.
* Capacity: can the discs hold what we want today and tomorrow?
* Player cost: is one player going to be dramatically more or less expensive than the above?
* Player availability: will there be a lot of different choices in players with the features and prices to satisfy everyone?
* Media cost: for recordables, asking the same question as above
And if heaven forbid there's a format war...
* Content: who has more of the good stuff?
Here are things that don't matter:
* the aforementioned replication cost
* the complexity of the pickup head
* the R&D cost of developing a new spin-coating method (presuming the end discs are durable)
* whether Toshiba gets to collect patent royalties because of its stake in the DVD patents
* whether Sony gets to collect patent royalties because of its stake in BluRay patents
Look, this isn't my typical pro-BluRay post. Ask the above questions yourselves. But please, stop telling me that I should care that a tectonic technological shift away from DVD to a media for the next media is going to have some casualties in the disc replication business.
I must've missed the part where we passed on the CD because of how badly it hurt the vinyl-record guys. And with the future of nearly all music purchasing headed for the 'net, should we give up all that will bring us because the CD replicators will be put out of business?
There's a saying about "everything in moderation". If only it was applied to well, you know...