Originally Posted by Curish
Yes, a whole 2 weeks worth. I'm convinced, HD DVD is dead.
Okay. How many weeks you need for BD to trump HD-DVD sales? Just asking.
I hate to say it for the millionth time, but this format war isn't going to be decided by the posters in this forum nor is it going to be decided on a $500-$600 gaming console/blue player. The PS3 price is going to have to drop drastically for it to soley win the format war.
No doubt, people who posts on AVSF is not J6P. However, in both the Playstation and the BD player forum, more threads are created by new PS3 owners asking for help in setting up BD playback.
I doubt that even SCE is going to push the PS3 as the primary product to end the war. Manufacturing productivity, as good and as fast as they can make the PS3, still has limits. Other BD players will have to take up the slack. Also some people are just allergic to using the PS3 as their BD playback unit.
The HD market is so miniscule right now; making these numbers mean so little. Show me this trend for the next 12 months and then we're talkin'.
Fox at CES showed a sales projection through the end of the first quarter of 2007. You should take a look at that graph (it did get the dates wrong).
Right now BD trumps HD-DVD by about 2.6 to 1 (certainly more than 2). If Universal executives wait until it gets to 10:1, they are not doing their job right. 5:1 for me is a good ratio to throw in the towel.
I'll echo other people, first to $200 players or less wins. If the blue boys can accomplish that before HD DVD, they'll win. Of course, this is just my humble opinion.
Let me ask you this. If you're saying that J6P will get into HD-DVD in droves when US$200 players come into the market, what do you say to those who want to get into the market now?
1) Do you tell them to wait until US$200 players come into the market?
2) Do you tell them that HD-DVD has Universal as an exclusive studio and BD has Sony PE, Disney and Fox as its exclusives?