Originally Posted by plazman
The logical flaw in your argument is that you are assuming that you are assuming that BD wins by having 51% of the market.
In fact the short term strategy of HD DVD has always been co-existance since it has long term cost advantages that are not factors now (like using DVD lines to replicate disks and cheaper laser assembly and drives).
So, all that HD DVD needs to do in the short term is to achieve viability. Sony is spending a lot on software subsidy, hardware subsidy and of course PR
and marketing....so, closing the gap in terms of achieving a stable 60:40 share or even 70:30 share is and important achievement in the short term since Sony probably will find it hard to continue this rate of spending.
I believe others including hardware vendors like TDK and Samsung and LG are seeing the writing on the wall. Resistance is futile
The SI number is irrelevant. Current weekly sales trending is far more important. Its the trends,not the history.
strategy has been based on inevitability and a sense of increasing momentum and a steadily increasing gap in sales.
Trends are what is important, not historical sales figures.
The simple fact is that Blu-ray is currently leading in the sales ratios, but the volumes are pitifully small. The Blu-ray PR
campaign has heavily been based on increasing separation and overwhelming sales advantages.
The fact that HD DVD has closed that sales gap trend is counter to the BDA PR
Current sales of hardware implies that HD DVD is a viable format. Blu-ray's ecosystem work best with Blu-ray the sole survivor. The PS3 has not proved to be the death blow to HD DVD.
Although its obvious Blu-ray still leads in the low volume of current HD disc sales, it is no longer apparent that player sales will be in Blu-ray's favor. The weight of increasing lower priced HD DVD players seems to an ever increasing factor that will eventually lead to dramatically larger HD DVD sales. The question is when.
CE companies may now decide that HD DVD is the horse that may break into mass market sales territory.
The simple fact that Blu-ray is not pulling away in weekly sales and HD DVD is competitive on a weekly basis is counter to the BDA claims.