Originally Posted by nyg
Refresh my memory, how long did DIVX last in its war against DVD? Seriously folks, I think this format war will be over sooner rather than later.
For HD DVD to survive I think you need to have around $1B in software sales for 2007. I don't recall DiVx coming anywhere even close to $200M in software sales in a year!
So, what will it take to get to $1B - 40M disks at the rate of $25. To buy 40M disks you need 4M players where the avg. attachment rate for each player is 10 disks purchased in 2007. AFAIK
. MSFT is putting out around 150K drives a month and Tosh another 100K players for a total of around 250K players a month (max). For 12 months, that works out to 3M units (from the big 2). So, in my books, it's not impossible, but going to be hard...I guess the Chinese can add another 1M units
The way I'm seeing it, HD DVD does not have the hardware capacity that BD has. Based on the sales figures, it's clear the HD DVD group recognized it and hence NOW I can see why they didn't make a deal about movie releases, but instead focused on hardware!!!! Makes perfect sense. I didn't check, but looks like a lot of the top titles were not even 50GB disks. And how come Taledega Nights is a top 5 title? Didn't it come for free?????
I love data!!!! A little real data goes a long long way