Originally Posted by robena
But now, 3D is coming, and Oppo is saying (I think) that their player won't be upgradable to support it.
3-D is definitely coming to movie theaters. I have seen two so far -- Up and Avatar. When I saw Avatar, they had a preview for Pirahna - 3D!!
I think it will be a very
long time (if ever) before it comes to your house.
Think about what we have so far:
a) The Blu-Ray Disc Association (BDA) has announced
a spec, but they haven't actually released
b) There were four prototype BD players at CES.
That's about it....
There are no titles you can buy.
There are no displays you can buy.
There are no players you can buy.
There is no system that has been proposed for broadcasting.
There is no system that has been proposed for satellite.
There is no system that has been proposed for cable.
All systems developed so far require special glasses.
Then even if all of these hurdles are overcome, you will have to replace every single component in your system (display, player, cable box, satellite box). The cost will be far
higher. (The talk at CES was that the Blu-Ray players would cost several thousand dollars.) How many people are going to do that so they can watch Pirahna - 3D?
The real reason for all of this is simply sheer desperation on the part of the Japanese majors. They were fat, dumb, and happy with the profits from CD. After everyone had bought a CD player, they were desperate to repeat it that success. They did so with DVD. But then China emerged on the scene. Suddenly the prices of players plunged, and along with it the profits of the Japanese companies.
So they introduced Blu-Ray. Nice picture. But it has only gotten 10% market penetration in the US. (Even less in Europe.) Only people like you and I care about the extra quality. The price of players keeps dropping. And it's ironic that the Oppo at $500 is outselling the Japanese players selling for half the price! (Of course the Japanese players are all made in China now anyway....)
All of the Japanese companies (except Panasonic) are bleeding money badly. They are panicked and don't know what to do. They are running around like chickens with their heads cut off, clutching at any straw that they think will make them money. So now they are trying to promote 3D with the hopes that people will line up to buy multi-thousand dollar players and new displays to watch Pirahna - 3D.
It is completely stupid. But most consumers are stupid, so it is possible that eventually it will take hold. And even if it does, it will only be a year or two before the Chinese players undercut the Japanese players on price. Then they will invent Purpl-Ray and 4D to try and sell you more crap that you don't need....