Netflix Declares Blu-ray Winner - Page 2 - AVS Forum
Forum Jump: 
Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools
post #31 of 31 Old 11-25-2005, 04:22 PM
 
DeadmeatGA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 560
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 0 Post(s)
Liked: 10
Quote:
But let's look at numbers http://www.thedigitalbits.com/artic...madvdsales.html in 1997 there were 315k,
Adoptation rate is different for HD-DVD because of the effect of Chinese HD-DVD players. It is hard to predict what the actual curve will be like, as format war tend to depress sales curve but cheap Chinese HD-DVD players inflate the sales curve, so the final result is unpredictable.

I am betting that when the Chinese HD-DVD player price level drops below $200 some time in 2007, HD-DVD would truely have become a mass consumer item.

Basically, whoever reaches that magical $200 price level wins this format war.

Quote:
Now how many PS3 do you think will be sold and manufactured by Jan1 2007?
In the US? 600K tops. You are asking for a US PSX3 sales projection for the first 40 days. SCEI will attempt a launch with 300K units and have another 300k units just before Xmas, but that's about it, no more.

If you think the current Xbox 360 shortage is bad, you haven't seen nothing yet.

Quote:
B=.20*3000k=600k
B=.20*600k=120k

Quote:
so even using your own equation the PS3 will put a BR player in twice as many homes as HD-DVD stand alone players.
Sorry to disprove you.

Quote:
We also did not add the rest (stand alone BR players)
Do you really expect people to buy $1000 players, be it HD-DVD or BR-ROM?

You won't see any kind of significant sales figure until the price level drops below $500.
DeadmeatGA is offline  
Sponsored Links
Advertisement
 
Closed Thread Blu-ray Players

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Show Printable Version
Email this Page Email this Page


Forum Jump: 

Posting Rules  
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off