In the last few days, there may have been a shift in attitude about Blu-ray's prospects. Let's not take this as an opportunity to be prideful or unkind or gloating. For one thing, it's not nice.
It is also not realistic.
Here is what I think is happening. HD DVD had its opportunity last summer with their launch and with all of the titles from Universal and Warners. Some people thought that the format war was a wrap--"the people's choice".
But HD DVD didn't close it. In particular, the customer base never extended far beyond the narrow early-adopter space.
Now, the attention is on Blu-ray, with lots of studio support and players. It is Blu-ray's time in the sun.
My guess is that this will last about 6 months. If Blu-ray doesn't extend its gains substantially in that time, there will be another reconsideration, and some of the Blu-ray exclusive studios will be sounding discouraged.
We need to stay on-track with being reasonable, with using only sensible and fact-based arguments. Remember that Toshiba and Microsoft have proven very effective. They are also not the "enemy" either, since they support high-quality video just like everyone else here.
I still don't really care who wins this format war but I do want to get it finished so I can collect the 300 films I have listed for hd disks.