I know this much. I bought my HD-A3 for $129 with 7 free titles, and I don't care if HD-DVD dies in a year, for that kindda $$ I don't want to wait a year to let the industry decide on a standard. I want to enjoy high-def movies RIGHT NOW.
I came very close to buying a PS3 during the boxing week, but decided not to, because $400 was still too much for a high-def player (not much of a gamer here) and Blu-Ray's current selection of movies SUCK.
I want to watch Transformers and it's on HD. Bourne series, HD again. Batman series ... HD again. The only titles I want to see on BR is Spiderman, and maybe the odd Disney animation.
I understand that may (and probably will) change, but again, for $129 - that includes 7 titles, I'll have no problem paying the $$ and being able to enjoy high-def movies TODAY, and keep the HD DVD player as a 'backup high def player' if need be in the future.