Originally Posted by Dark_Slayer
Yeah agree, that was the point
PVR is pretty niche (or appropriately referred to as "icing"). I like the niche and I'll keep it as long as possible, plus it saves me quite a bit of subscription costs to TV providers
Targeting noobs with money is a great business model. Fortunately XBMC and makemkv
are open source. Enthusiast penny-pinchers aren't a great business model, hence the writing on the wall
Edit: makemkv is free in beta, not opensource
I think the natural movement and expansion of HTPC into normal people's lives will be much the same story as mine.
First- It starts with wanting to have a PC hooked up to a TV. Pretty simple with today's technology but when I started out it was not. (remember DVI or VGA ? )
It starts with wanting to view stuff on your PC on your TV. Then you crave a front end to manage it and look cool- adding functionality and easy of use.
Then- you want to stream (netflix, hulu, youtube... whatever)
Then you realize you can watch on your HTPC and attempt to save money by eliminating cable box rentals- or even a cable subscription that gets used less and less.
It's a natural movement. I would say cable boxes and cable companies are in more trouble long term than HTPC's are. Tuners - cables cards or whatever.
It's only natural people will want to watch what they want- when they want it- and also pay a reasonable low price. On demand- streaming- pay per channel- pay per show... instant access. That is the future. It's not DVR boxes or broadcast-ed TV.
I refuse to watch the 5 minutes of commercials every few minutes. It's not fun. I'd rather go another direction. I hate having to fast forward through them even... that is how bad it has gotten even with DVR. I certainly am not going to sit in front of the TV to watch a TV show and be advertised at- at 8pm every whatever day because that's when the cable company wants me to sit there and watch .
Cable and broadcast are doomed if they don't change with what people want. I'd love to pay for 15 channels I watch for additional $15 month. versus $60 a month now for 60 channels (when I watch only 15).
I would love to hit a button and watch what I want to watch- instantly. I'd pay for that.
I think there is some innovation coming in how content is distributed that's going to be game changing- and certainly related to HTPC and what it stands for.
I'd hit a button and buy a movie for $1 that I wanted to see on impulse. I'd be happy to pay. But for some reason I won't get in my car and drive to the REDBOX at the corner and pay that same 1$ or so.. I'm too lazy. And I don't want to have to return it- or suffer some strange menu system-- put a disc in a machine or whatever... It's bad enough that redboxes replaced video rental stores getting rid of the major expense- (people/labor) But now... VOD is going to get rid of those redboxs. You don't need overhead in disc media, electricity, credit card machine transaction fees, or in the machine it's self. Just sell the content right to the consumer and capitalize on impulse purchases- people will pay more or buy more if they get it easy and instant. The margins are better too.
broadcasting- advertising and video disc sales are going to change. Consumers want it to change. It is the broadcasting companies and the record companies and the movie companies that want to desperately hold onto an antique and generally crappy distribution method. The writing is on the wall for all that nonsense.
Screw DVD discs.
Screw live TV
Screw Bluray discs
Screw getting out of my chair to do anything.
You can give people everything they want at the push of a button instantly. And affordable. It will make consumers happy to pay. It will also cut down piracy and increase profits.
Problem is broadcasts companies, Record companies, Movie companies and cable companies are all too stupid to realize it and capitalize. One company like APPLE or Microsoft or Google could replace all four of those industries forever with a really inovative on demand direct to consumer digital distribution process.
When fiber optic is installed in major populated areas allowing for gig speed distribution and full 1080p streaming... it's a certain fact things will change forever.
All that is lacking is the basic infrastructure for that. Even FCC is pushing for it with the giga challenge.