Originally Posted by eat meat
yes there is the obvious one..... sales numbers.
sorry,your wants it to be dont count, this is a well know number.allong with the pricing of the hybreds.
It's nothing about what I want, but you still haven't proven the source for that 40k/yr volume.
If it was really such a limited market, there is no way you'd see dozens of HT specific projectors out just in the <$3k range(heck, there are dozens out in the <$1k range!).
Let's say you've got 30 projector models with an average model lifecycle length of 3 years. That gives a whopping 4k unit volume for each model assuming sales are distributed evenly.
That said, there are probably more than 30 active HT/semi-HT projector models out there at any given time.
I fully believe there were 40k HT projectors sold... back in '05, but I don't buy it now. The industry is just too large for the HT projector market to be about 0.36% of all projectors sold. I'd say quite a few multiples of that at least.
Oh, look what a Google search brought up...
According to market research firm Quixel Research, shipments of home-theater-specific front projectors in the United States were up 11 percent to 34,543 units from the same period in 2011[Q1 only], but were down 33 percent from the 54,221 units sold in the fourth quarter last year.
According to Quixel, projectors with FullHD 1080p resolution continue to dominate the business, with 91.4 percent share of market, but that was down almost 2 percent from 93.3 percent in the first quarter of 2011, following the renewed interest in 720p products. Also indicative of the downscale trend, factory dollar volume for U.S. front projectors dropped 1 percent to $72.19 million from the first quarter of 2011 and 32 percent from the preceding quarter.
Sounds like about 150k HT projectors are sold each year, with 91.4% of those being 1080P models. Now that 150k/yr number starts making more sense in terms of how many players you see in the market and accounts for the 2-3 year average product lifecycle length that seems popular.
These stats don't seem to include crossover categories like portable and pico projectors that are doubling as HT projectors.
So...ahem... where is this 40k/yr volume coming from considering just 54k were sold in Q4 of 2011?