Originally Posted by fire407
People keep talking here like EVERYONE already has a fairly new HDTV, and this new tech would force them to scrap it and buy the new tech. That's not the case at all. There are always some people in the market for a new TV. I keep repeating myself, but go to any Best Buy tomorrow and you will see people there buying TVs. It's people that are just buying into HDTV, and people that have had a HDTV for the last 11 years that needs replacing, and people that just want a second or third TV. The same will hold true even two or three years from now when the 3D tech will be in every tier of TV sold. So even though very few people are buying the 3D tech now, it will increase gradually until a huge number of people have it in their homes. Also, we are discussing this right NOW before there are any 3D channels, only one 3D Blu-ray movie, and only two manufacturers even selling 3D TVs. In a month or two, when the channels are available and Sony and LG and Toshiba have their 3D TVs available, then the public will have a better idea of how 3D can look. When someone comes over to my house this fall and sees football in 3D, or a great looking 3D Blu-ray, then they really might feel the pressure to buy into it. Obviously a lot of people don't want to feel that pressure, even though no one is going to force them to replace their current setups.
Anyway you look at it there are just to many negatives with 3D at this time vs 2D HD. First, you speak of when channels of 3D programing become available people will see how great 3D looks. I don't disagree at this time that 3D may look really great (like I said before, I loved Avatar at IMAX), but the problem comes down to how many people will be able to get the programing? Right now ESPN, DirecTV, and Dish have committed to each having one 3D channel (I haven't read anything about cable companies yet, but lets say some of then will offer a dedicated 3D channel too). So right off the bat, you will need to subscribe to a cable or sat company, and I'm sure 3D channels will be consider a "premium" channel. No OTA 3D for free, which a lot of people out there are getting their HD OTA. And many swear by the quality of the OTA HD picture vs cable/sat compressed signals.
We're still waiting to get all our subscribed channels converted to HD, yet contracts and other costs are holding things up on many channels that still are broadcasting in SD.
As far as Blu-ray movies, IMO, I think the biggest blunder with 3D movies might turn out to be the release of Avatar in 2D now, instead of holding off with a 3D version. When that 3D version does come out, there will be so many comparisons made between the 2D & 3D versions that if that 3D version isn't as great as the theater version it could really put a wrench in 3D home viewing. During the mean time, people who have gone out and bought the 2D version have been saying how well they like it...that it was just as good with out the 3D...now what will motivate these people to want to purchase the 3D version when it comes out (and pay a premium price)?
fire407, please don't think I'm trying to argue with you, cause I'm not. I'm enjoying these "conversations" as a exchange of information and opinions...nothing more.