Originally Posted by mark haflich
The future will show you wrong on that. The fact of all those Buray 3D movies coming and over the cable sports, nature etc, and the fact of all the announced introduction of 3D flat panels with 3D capability with little cost disencentive over non 3d capable sets has set in flow a juggernaught. Shutterglasses will be required but the cost of those won`t be high enough to deter the market.
If it does, I will be the first to admit that I was very wrong with my assessment. As of now, I respectfully disagree.
My argument is as follows, of the many people I know who have only upgraded to HDTV's within the past 3 years, none that I know are even considering getting a 3D capable panel. As a matter of fact, most are upset at the idea of having to upgrade yet again.
While I have no data to back this up, I'm of the opinion that the average
consumer will keep a durable good (such as a television) for at least 10 years unless it becomes inoperable / unrepairable before that.
I know that 3D was huge at CES this year - I work on a trading floor and we have CNBC on all day - and it was notnstop CES coverage, nontsop 3D. Not one person on my desk, or on the entire floor for that matter was remotely interested in 3D.
The most common arguments I heard against it - "wearing a pair of stupid glasses" and 'having to buy a new TV yet again"