Originally Posted by Deja Vu
I'm enthusiastic about 3D; however Blu-Ray hasn't caught on in a major way after 4 to 5 years so I'll be surprised if 3D does. Hopefully there will be enough support for it to allow us to pursue it and obtain enough content to keep us semi-happy.
Blu-ray, meaning the packaged media format, was released in the US in June of 2006. Not quite four years old yet. Factor in the format war that slowed the adoption of Blu-ray, and it is really less than that. Even so, if you mean by "hasn't caught on in a major way" that Blu-ray has not replaced DVD in it's less than four year life so far, even the most enthusiastic format supporters in the industry never claimed Blu-ray would supplant DVD in any given period of time. However, with players now approaching $100 and software widely available, even at mass market outlets like Walmart and Target, Blu-ray has most assuredly "caught on".
That said, I don't think a parallel can be drawn between Blu-ray format and 3D technology. 3D requires a large new investment in hardware for the consumer and the availability of content will be dictated by many different corporations with varying degrees of commitment to a new technology like 3D. Every major film studio supports Blu-ray disc. You cannot say the same for all the studios and all the networks that could potentially supply 3D content.
BTW, I am in the electronics business (custom AV design) and have Samsung's 3D system on a showroom floor right now. I think the technology is cool, and certainly "works", but I also think it is likely to remain little more than a gimmick in the public mind for quite a long time, and may never gain wide acceptance.