Here to stay.CONTENT
The extra revenue from 3D at the cinema will keep the Hollywood movie content flowing. Stereoscopic cameras are getting very inexpensive especially for digital as there would be no extra film stock cost. The extra cost of post-production will not add much percentage-wise to the final budget of a movie, especially a blockbuster.
Made-for-TV content will be dominated by sports for a good long time, supplemented with gimmicky news/reality shows. News shows with floating tickers at the bottom and hovering headlines and weather-maps will show up so the cable channels can claim higher 3D numbers in their press releases. Action game shows like Total Wipeout will show people getting smacked around in 3D before long. CGI kids' shows would be easy to make 3D. Drama and sitcoms are at least 5-10 years away, with the exception of "a very special sweeps episode" promotional uses.DISPLAY
The cost of adding shutter-glasses type 3D functionality to a TV or projector is minute
. You already have sufficient refresh rates and brightness, all you need is a little bit of extra processing and some form of syncing for the glasses. And you don't need to wear glasses every time you watch TV, only when you want 3D. Most notably, there is no
downside to having a 3D compatible set over a 2D set. Every high-end TV from 2011 will be 3D compatible even if they don't come with free glasses. Third-party glasses will bring total cost of ownership down.
Once Microsoft, Sony, and Nintendo get their gaming consoles to 3D properly no-one
who plays video games will consider a 2D TV. These are the people that will make sure 3D display devices will be the norm. Add in head-tracking (try this video
if you haven't seen it before) and the experience should be quite fenomenal.
No TV manufacturer will intentionally lock out that multi-billion dollar gamer portion of the market.PLAYERS
Again, all you need is a bit of extra processing power in the players. Any 3D disc will have a 2D version "built-in" by showing only one of the two frames, so they will be watchable on any normal 2D TV as well. If they've managed to make the 3D Blu-ray discs backwards compatible in 2D mode it's a no-brainer, no need to even have two versions of the movie available on disc. Every mid-to-high-end Blu-ray player will be 3D compatible by 2011.