Originally Posted by graphicguy
There are bunch of other articles out there that come to similar conclusions, but this one kind of sums up the entire "3D" experiment.....http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817...id=BFnNMGvaj5H
While the poll attached to this thread is unscientific, we're AV enthusiasts. And, even 2/3s of us believe 3D is merely a blip (or a fad) and won't take hold. And, if us early adopters, those of us who enjoy this hobby, feel that way, I believe the casual person certainly won't adopt it in any grand fashion. Certainly, there's plenty of history whenever 3D is trying once again to make a push, and sees a surge, only to quickly fizzle out and go away.
You have to take articles like that with a grain of salt
It mentions the prices have plummeted and that 2D set costs what last year 3D did
Not really accurate..for a couple of reasons
The price of flat panels televisions has been falling rapidly before 3D came into the scene. So if the price falling price component is used a litmus test ..then flat screen TV's are a failure
It also doesn't mention the fact that 3D is now available on mid tier models where it wasn't last year
...the last time I checked standard DVD was still outselling blu ray
does that mean blu ray is a fad?
I see standard DVD players getting rarer and rare in the stores..and shelves taken over by blu ray players
Stand alone CD players are a thing of the past
The fact we don't know the manufacturers sales goals or their cost structure just fuels speculation
does it cost them anymore to make blu ray discs than standard DVD?
Blu ray discs certainly cost more at retail
You are also making the assumption that a product has to be mainstream to be a success
There a whole lot of successful companies and products that are not marketed to, or sold to, a mainstream audience
The other question them becomes..if your target audience is say 15-20% of the market...is that product a service a success and/or profitable?
No one can say except the purveyor of that good or service
Don't' speculate that a good ( or service) is a not a success or is a fad based on the fact that its not in every Walmart in the country
I take myself as case in point
when I looking for a TV..I really only shopped the top 2 models of a couple of manufacturer
Models that probably only make up a very small percentage of the manufacturers volume
I have upgraded incessantly in audio for 5-7 years
I don't consider myself mainstream...but I know there are hundreds of thousands( if not millions) of others that do the same thing I do..and shop for the same tier of products
Based on your definition of Fad...I have been( and many others have as well) playing that role for many years and will likely continue to do so