Originally Posted by Joseph Dubin
Thank you also, Ghpr.
You're right, of course, nobody is really rooting against 3D -- it's just as so many are saying, they have already invested in HD monitors over the past few years.
My uneducated guess is that the industry concluded a certain percentage of consumers still in the market to buy sets were also interested enough to spend the extra money to get 3D -- along with enough current owners which would enable them to (at worst) break even with what they invested in research, manufacturing and advertising.
If so, one factor they probably could not anticpate was the worst recession since the 1930s. This suddenly turned everything into a whole new ballgame. How much the economic crisis might affect those they anticipated spending the extra money for 3D and/or new monitors, we don't know. These consumers might or might not look for less expensive alternatives.
Again, only time will tell...., this is only a guess on my part based on current socio-economic conditions which, I'm sure, was surmized by most everybody.
Along with the recession, I think consumers still have a sour taste in their mouths when remembering things like Beta-Max, Quad, HD DVDs. Consumer got burn on those items, and as another poster said, people will tell everyone about a bad or wasted money spent on something far more often then they will tell about something good they bought.
As I said before, IMO, 3D needs to progress in a more evolutionary way. Avatar
was the first "ground up" made 3D movie...and a lot of people seemed to really enjoy it (myself included), but then came out Clash of the Titans
, and it's 3D was panned by everyone who seen it. Now we're waiting for the verdict on Toy Story 3
Let 3D earn their bones in the cinemas first, along with gaming on the consumer front. Then as more & more "ground up" 3D media is available, let's see what consumers think then. Remember too, as has been noted in the thread over & over, the very mention of 3D clicks as "gimmick" with a lot of people just because of it's own history.
Let me make it clear, that I don't think of 3D as a gimmick myself, but I do feel it has a number of large hurdles to jump before it will ever be mainstream in consumer's homes.