Originally Posted by R11
So, you're coming around to the idea it was likely planned then? Before you sounded like you just thought they were only casting dummies
I'm now convinced that it was planned but I feel cheated that they purposely edited out the planning, I guess to make it surprising which it wasn't.
I'm not convinced they're not dummies though. There was no reason for Bill to choose to go to tribal council. Even if Bill was so stupid to be completely convinced that Leif was getting the ax for telling him he was next, Bill shouldn't have agreed to go to TC -- Leif was trying to help him! Leif was his only slim chance of getting into an alliance at that moment and Bill knew he would be next anyway.
Same thing for the remains of the muscle alliance. Do they really think that choosing to vote someone from their tribe off would lead to good things for them in the future? That's what Michael or Jay (I get them mixed up) said.
Anyone who had seen the old seasons knows a tribe swap is coming pretty soon and that will change everything. It's also rare for alliance members to vote off fellow members before another alliance has been Pagonged. The whole vote-off-Leif thing sounded suspicious enough to pass on.
Bill wasn't doomed until he agreed to give up tribe immunity.