Thats pretty much spot on. CRT's have all basically been replaced now and the spike in sales [of flat panels] is over. 3D was to try and get sales going again and failed. 4K will create a small blip, but the majority will wait until their existing panels fail.
As to 4K content distribution, as with a previous posted comment where most of America don't have the speed required to download a 4K movie, Australia is much the same. Hell, I only get 36Gb/month so for me to download a 50Gb movie is 2 months worth of data without doing anything else on the net.
Even if we could convince everyone that DVD's are redundant (like VHS tapes are now), most are not tech savvy enough to understand that the movie you can get from the internet is the same as the one you can get on the disc.
While digital music distribution has been made easy with the likes of iTunes and Amazon, this has gone a long way to teach the masses on digital content delivery so the transition should be easier. Whatever the solution, its is going to have to not require a computer.
And then there are those that want the physical media (as stated already).
Rental outlets also need to be considered. While Netflix has crushed most of them in the US, here in Aus I can get a new BR movie to rent for $2. There is no digital distribution option available to us Aussies (not that I am aware of but I do not search them out doe to my limitations of data).
So, in my humble opinion, 4K will be dead before it starts unless a distribution media is created for it.
Mick
As to 4K content distribution, as with a previous posted comment where most of America don't have the speed required to download a 4K movie, Australia is much the same. Hell, I only get 36Gb/month so for me to download a 50Gb movie is 2 months worth of data without doing anything else on the net.
Even if we could convince everyone that DVD's are redundant (like VHS tapes are now), most are not tech savvy enough to understand that the movie you can get from the internet is the same as the one you can get on the disc.
While digital music distribution has been made easy with the likes of iTunes and Amazon, this has gone a long way to teach the masses on digital content delivery so the transition should be easier. Whatever the solution, its is going to have to not require a computer.
And then there are those that want the physical media (as stated already).
Rental outlets also need to be considered. While Netflix has crushed most of them in the US, here in Aus I can get a new BR movie to rent for $2. There is no digital distribution option available to us Aussies (not that I am aware of but I do not search them out doe to my limitations of data).
So, in my humble opinion, 4K will be dead before it starts unless a distribution media is created for it.
Mick

















