Originally Posted by Ballis
I find it hard to believe they are gonna replace bluray with another physical format, but if they do, I predict it wont be very successful at this point. While enthusiasts may embrace it, streaming is allready becoming the mainstream choise. It will become the next LaserDisc, at best.
People said the same thing about DVD and BD. Now I agree that 4K BD will take time to establish itself, if consumers and the industry want it to succeed it will.
Now the big issue is there going to enough of a quality difference to justify repurchasing content again. BD at least had lossless audio on the majority of releases. I don't know if the PQ difference between UHD/4K and 1080p/2K will be enough for most to see at common TV sizes and viewing distances.
The problem with streaming is that it doesn't satisfy the collector and enthusiast market. The studios are going to find that 4K downloads/streams are going to be a hard sell at the prices they want. If I am going to pay more than a few dollars I want something tangible I can hold.
I don't want file on a hard drive and if UHD digital files are going to compete quality wise how much HDD space is the collector going to need. I have over 500 BDs. Most of those titles if considering just the film with lossless audio still would take up to 30+GB/title. Now at HD level that would require 15TBs of storage. Now UHD is essentially 4x the resolution and even figuring in newer more efficient codecs I would still guess I would need 40TBs of storage just to store my current library in UHD quality. Sure HDD can increase, but we are already seeing a slowing in the growth of HDD capacity. I just don't see HDD storage being practical for a UHD library.
Streaming you say? Sure the US bandwidth is increasing but it still has a long ways to go if UHD streaming is the future. The backbone isn't there. Heck look at the bitrate of current "HD" streams and the file size of current "HD" downloads... they are no where near close to achieving BD quality currently and now some in the industry are telling me they will be able to do UHD streams and downloads. Whatever? Just because content is flagged at certain resolution doesn't mean the end result is quality.
Garbage in... garbage out.Edited by Toknowshita - 9/12/13 at 10:09am