Originally Posted by blee0120
I still can not see 4k projectors being $3K or less. It just doesn't seem possible. 4k blu rays are probably 1.5yrs away, then probably 3-4 years before we even get a reasonable amount to purchase. DLPs are not even on the works and when they start, it will be expensive. So, for everyone hoping for the cheaper DLPs to come out with an under $3K projector is going to be waiting. Even the high end DLPs, which will be first to hit the 4K consumer market, are at least 2 years away. That leaves Sony, JVC, and Epson. Epson has no 4k projector in the works and if they did, they wilk not price it lower or the same as their 1080p model. I'm sure they will want to make money instead of losing money. Sony in 2011 came out with the 1000es for $25K, then in the 500/600es for $15k in 2013. Why would they have one for less than $3k in 2 years? JVC eshift models are $5k+, makes no sense for them to have a native 4k projector in 2 years for less than $3K.
With basically no 4k content, its going to be hard for the projector market to price projectors in the entry level 1080p price range. There is more that goes into a 4k machine than a 2k machine.
Your arguments mirror, almost word for word, what was said when 1080p projectors first came to market.
You may not believe it, but I fully expect it to come to pass. It follows the course of history with electronics. It's close to the same argument people had with HD DVD vs. Blu-ray and how expensive BD players were when they came out, then a couple of years later had dropped 80%+ in price.
Yes, the price will drop, yes it will happen quickly, yes LCD and DLP chips will come to market, yes they will come out $5,000 or under the first year, and $3,000 and under the second year.
Quote me, I certainly could be wrong, but I don't expect to be. But, we will know in about 18-24 months. No, not next January! But, 18-24 months. A great deal rides on HDMI 2.0 rollout and if Epson and TI will deliver UHD chips by the end of this year.