|Originally posted by hoodlum
I agreee that unless the general public can purchase a good quality and asthetically pleasing large screen TV (>42") for under $1k they will stay with the smaller screens and not be able to tell the difference between the current DVD's and the HD-DVD's. I am not convinced that we'll be downloading HD-DVD's in that time frame either, unless your talking about a compressed version in which case I will just stick with renting the current DVD's.
Hoodlum has a very good point. I think the adoption rate for any HD content on disc will be very low at first for the first year. How many people have an HDTV at home that can really tell the difference between the ED DVD and HD DVD. The ratio is still very unfavorable to us unfortunately.
The reason why ED DVD adoption rate was so fast is because it shows a significant improvement on an existing TV no matter what kind of TV you are talking about. The PQ over VHS is just superb even to an average consumer. Also, all you need to purchase is a $300+ DVD player (I am talking about 5 years ago.) and not a multi-thousand dollar TV and a probably $K HD-DVD player.
I think we need to see the adoption of HDTV much much more and we will then enjoy a lower priced HD-DVD or Blu-ray player and disc. On the bright side, Sony's Playstation3 (if supporting Blu-ray HD-movie playback) may help the situation a lot because Sony are known for selling their Playstation at a loss. It may be the cheapest Blu-ray player in the market ($500).