Originally Posted by spyboy
The honchos are talking about OLED panels no larger
than 55 inches by 2015. Meanwhile LCD makers are well aware of OLED and are continuing to refine and enlarge LCD panels.
I speculate that by 2015 we will be able to get 3rd generation 72 inch 3D LCDs for $2,000.
The fact that much of the production of OLED is going to be for cell phones is also not really inspiring.
It's used there to test & refine the tech and most cell phone users/buyers don't mind the color drift as they throw the phones away after two years anyway.
When it's ready for prime time the "LCD makers" will *happily* sell you OLED - as they are the same companies that are doing the R&D on OLED.
Samsung's CEO, for example, said that there'll be no OLED-TV market unless the manufacturers create one - and they will do exactly do that if it is profitable for them.
Right now they are consolidating themselves after the financial crisis, however, and they are not willing to do big experiments in 2010 and 2011. That's one reason you still see many CCFL-sets, a lot of edge-lit LED-LCDs, less full-LED LCDs with local dimming (more expensive to produce) and 3D as a by-product in sets with a fast enough panel (which are basically on the market since 2008).
I'm not even convinced that OLED will hit the mass market in 2015. Perhaps the enthusiast lines with sets above $3000 (for 46+") will be switched to OLED?