Originally Posted by RADMan2000
I don't agree that the transition costs are zero. One of the advantages of standard DVDs is their ability to be used in a variety of devices: portable DVD players, laptop PCs, desktop PCs, automobile DVD players, older or cheap DVD players that may be attached to the 2nd or 3rd TV in the house, and players at friends' homes. Because BD media will not play in these other devices, you can't truly make the "transition" to BD unless you are willing to forego the transportability factor (a "cost" in convenience) or upgrade these other devices to BD (high cost or no current availability). So, yes, it is possible that even with all these PS3s that are BD-capable, most people will continue to buy standard DVDs, at least in the short term.
Now this I HIGHLY agree with.
I spend a truly good (Not outraegous) amount on electronics, both PC and entertainment wise. This currently has me with 2 DVD players, 2 PCs with DVD ROM or DVD-RW, an MCE HTPC with DVD ROM and an in-car DVD player.
There is just NO WAY IN HELL that I am going to replace all of that on the short. And especially for the prices that are being demanded at this time.
And what the HELL do you need HDTV in your car for?!?!?! Waht, does your windshield double as a plasma display or something?!?!
As for the PS3 and BD adoption, no way. I know a pile of people that bought a PS2 and jabbered about using it for DVD playback. NONE of them actually did it. Things like the ever classic "Wife Acceptance Factor" step in and demand only the easiest of use. Even fewer people I know used the XBox 1 to play DVD content. Consoles that play DVD/BD/HD-DVD are just an anomolous curiosity.
Another thing that most are missing is that the PS3 will be so freaking $$$ that it will still put the HD-DVD players in a better, more economically viable light. And with the XBox360 prices coming down and the new WiiWii, most will notice that they can still get a new/equivalent console and an HD-DVD player for LESS than ANY BD player setup.
And lastly, as someone noted, the world is not populated by crazy HDTV nuts that have limitless buckets of cash. Most people still have yet to get a new TV with real HDTV resolution. I only recently got an actual HDTV. My not "real" HDTV is my 480p pj set up in my HT. Price will dominate this format war and Sony is NOT known for being price savvy.