Originally Posted by Forceflow
Japan is trending as strong towards BD as the rest of the world is to HD DVD. Saying its dead in Japan is akin to giving up on BD in the rest of the world. There is plenty of time for one to make a move anywhere in the world.
I'm sorry, but this is just plain WRONG. Most estimates put BD as holding more than 90 percent of the Japanese market and I've seen nothing in my discussions with hobbyists or visits to many (and I mean MANY) consumer electronics shops that would make me think otherwise. There are multiple models of Blu-ray recorders (no BD players are currently sold here), but only two HD-DVD models (one recorder and one player). In the Japan market, HDD/disc recorders are more popular than standalone players, and it's been this way for years. A lot of my closest friends are home theater hobbyists. Only ONE has an HD-DVD player, and even he has a PS3. And he recently told me he's considering selling the Toshiba because getting movies for it takes too much effort. Everyone else either has PS3s and/or BD recorders. And unlike some western consumers, Japanese PS3 owners have no problem with using their gaming device as a movie player.
The software situation is even more desperate for HD-DVD. You can walk into any major CE shop or video store in Japan and find Blu-ray movies for sale. But just TRY finding an HD-DVD movie. Yodobashi Camera in Akihabara is the nearest "brick and mortar" store that I can find that actually has any HD-DVD discs in stock. Anyone looking for HD-DVD software has to resort to Amazon or other online sources.
From where I stand, it would take a major screwup by the BD camp or an act of God for HD-DVD to ever catch up.