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Format Battle General Discussion Thread: Discuss it here! - Page 55  

post #1621 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by scaesare View Post

No matter how I've tried to read your quote, I can't make this reconcile. I really have completely avoided all the console talk here, but I have to ask:

Are you trying to say that the ~10mil 360's reported as sold thru the end of the year isn't true?

Huh?

Where did I question the 10 million number?

Read carefully, I was pointing out that Sony may have shipped more PS3s in the first 6-7 weeks (from middle of November to end of the year) than MS shipped X360s in its first 6-7 weeks (from when it launched last year to the end of 2005).

At a higher price, despite heavy competition from the X360 this year and the Wii.
post #1622 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by wco81 View Post

Huh?

Where did I question the 10 million number?

Read carefully, I was pointing out that Sony may have shipped more PS3s in the first 6-7 weeks (from middle of November to end of the year) than MS shipped X360s in its first 6-7 weeks (from when it launched last year to the end of 2005).

At a higher price, despite heavy competition from the X360 this year and the Wii.

As I've pointed out before, for PS3 to have a chance at winning the console war, it has to sell more units every month than the Xbox360 is currently.

The PS3 not only started at a deficit, but continues to sell less units every month than the Xbox360. To even be in the game, Sony needs to reverse that trend.
post #1623 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Channel View Post

Maybe someone can step up and correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe that Sarbox made it illegal to claim shipments into the channel as sales numbers, as channel stuffing was a very popular end of quarter sport in the heyday of the technology boom. I believe Sarbox requires companies to report only sell through numbers.

If someone knows otherwise, please chime in.

It's only illegal if it is booked as REVENUE at the point of sale. In fact, proper disclosure requires them to indicate the accounts receivables. They book the revenue when they are paid, and that will be some nominal period after the customer receives the product.

If the product is in shipment (and that is a long time by boat) it won't have been paid for, and it can't be booked as revenue.

They are quite allowed to tell people the unit counts those receivables are based on.

Microsoft does the exact same thing. Are you saying they may be breaking the law too?

Gary
post #1624 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by wco81 View Post

Except they've been shipping them by air and said they'd continue to do so if necessary.

EDIT:

BTW, NPD numbers are due this Thursday.

So how many PS3s do you think are sitting on the shelves, in some warehouse, sitting in a plane cargo hold, etc.?

50k? 100k? 200k? 500k?

Very few I would reckon ... < 50k Maybe? 100k? Dunno ... not many ... I think there were a lot more Xboxes on Shelves Janurary 1st than PS3's ... by a huge margin ... in fact, I'm guessing there were probably more Xboxes in Channel (but Shipped) than there were PS3's shipped as a whole. Potentially somewhere like 1-2 million units.

I was just noting the differences in definition to add information to the mix, that's all. I'm surprised that Sony was able to get their 1M number, good on them. Though, I am disappointed that they tried to spin that as being their 'goal' all along during the Keynote. It makes me think that they think I'm stupid and/or have a very short memory. Especially considering that as recently as August they were talking about how they were on track to hit 4M. *shrug*

As far as NPD ... I like to use their numbers as ratio's ... ie: How many of A 'sold' compared to how many of B during the same period ... or ... how did the sales of A compare from month 1 to month 2, etc. I don't think the numbers are anywhere near accurate as far as how many units are actually in homes. It's a great resource though, as long as it is used in the proper context.
post #1625 of 6336
Looks like RCA has officially bowed out of HD-DVDs "race to the bottom" (as in pricing) and is leaving the "biz" in the hands of Toshiba/MS. No news yet of Tosh/MS suckering er.. um.. welcoming in another company to fill RCAs shoes..

News is in the "News Thread"

b2b
post #1626 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Channel View Post

As I've pointed out before, for PS3 to have a chance at winning the console war, it has to sell more units every month than the Xbox360 is currently.

The PS3 not only started at a deficit, but continues to sell less units every month than the Xbox360. To even be in the game, Sony needs to reverse that trend.

Well it hasn't been two months yet.

So lets see how much longer X360 outsells the PS3 each month.

Before November, X360 was selling around 220k a month. Lets see if X360 falls back to that trend. It really shouldn't because it should have a lot of games coming out by now, over a year after launch.

Meanwhile, Sony's game release calendar doesn't look so hot but with the EU launch, there should be some games which appeal to American and Japanese gamers. Don't be too shocked if the PS3 outsells the X360 in March for instance, unless there's some killer X360 title coming out then.

If PS3 outsold X360 in their respective first 6-7 weeks, lets see what it's like by the end of this year before we pronounce the lead insurmountable.
post #1627 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by dialog_gvf View Post

It's only illegal if it is booked as REVENUE at the point of sale. In fact, proper disclosure requires them to indicate the accounts receivables. They book the revenue when they are paid, and that will be some nominal period after the customer receives the product.

If the product is in shipment (and that is a long time by boat) it won't have been paid for, and it can't be booked as revenue.

They are quite allowed to tell people the unit counts those receivables are based on.

Microsoft does the exact same thing. Are you saying they may be breaking the law too?

Gary

No, just looking for feedback on how Sarbox restricts their ability to play fast and loose with channel numbers vs. sell through numbers. I'll ask the Microsoft folks tomorrow at CES to confirm the nature of the 10.4 million number.
post #1628 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by b2bonez View Post

Looks like RCA has officially bowed out of HD-DVDs "race to the bottom" (as in pricing) and is leaving the "biz" in the hands of Toshiba/MS. No news yet of Tosh/MS suckering er.. um.. welcoming in another company to fill RCAs shoes..

News is in the "News Thread"

b2b

*sigh*

Looks like RCA has officially bowed out of Blu-Ray's "race to the bottom" (as in pricing) and is leaving the "biz" in the hands of Sony. No news yet of Sony suckering er.. um.. welcoming in another company to fill RCAs shoes..

I don't understand why to post things that are just going to get a rise out of people? It clearly states RCA won't be supporting either format:
post #1629 of 6336
If there is anything specific anybody here is personally very interested in at CES, I may be able to grab some literature or information during my rounds.

I have a far amount of time allocated to walking the floors.

Please PM me on any specific requests.
post #1630 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by wco81 View Post

Well it hasn't been two months yet.

So lets see how much longer X360 outsells the PS3 each month.

Before November, X360 was selling around 220k a month. Lets see if X360 falls back to that trend. It really shouldn't because it should have a lot of games coming out by now, over a year after launch.

Meanwhile, Sony's game release calendar doesn't look so hot but with the EU launch, there should be some games which appeal to American and Japanese gamers. Don't be too shocked if the PS3 outsells the X360 in March for instance, unless there's some killer X360 title coming out then.

If PS3 outsold X360 in their respective first 6-7 weeks, lets see what it's like by the end of this year before we pronounce the lead insurmountable.

I agree ... if the PS3 Launches in Europe in March, I would expect it to outsell Xbox 360 by a significant margin ... I hope it does really, competition keeps everyone on their toes and pushing the envelope for the benefit of consumers.
post #1631 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by jdg345 View Post

*sigh*

Looks like RCA has officially bowed out of Blu-Ray's "race to the bottom" (as in pricing) and is leaving the "biz" in the hands of Sony. No news yet of Sony suckering er.. um.. welcoming in another company to fill RCAs shoes..

I don't understand why to post things that are just going to get a rise out of people? It clearly states RCA won't be supporting either format:

That's why I put the at the end. It's a joke, a caustic and biting joke, but a joke none the less. Think Jay Leno ~ Clinton Jokes..

b2b
post #1632 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kosty View Post

If there is anything specific anybody here is personally very interested in at CES, I may be able to grab some literature or information during my rounds.

I have a far amount of time allocated to walking the floors.

Please PM me on any specific requests.

Walking the floors at CES? or AEE? :lol:
post #1633 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by jdg345 View Post

It clearly states RCA won't be supporting either format:

RCA only supported HD-DVD last year (with their Tosh A1 clone), no?

I think they have bigger problems with Thompson likely to sell, etc. They have LG to replace RCA with, though (kinda).
post #1634 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Channel View Post

No, just looking for feedback on how Sarbox restricts their ability to play fast and loose with channel numbers vs. sell through numbers. I'll ask the Microsoft folks tomorrow at CES to confirm the nature of the 10.4 million number.

REVENUE. The SEC doesn't give a damn about widget counts.

Gary
post #1635 of 6336
More news from the "News Thread" scratch that.. the "Q&A thread"

Toshiba announces 50GB TL HD-DVD disc. I guess they didn't get the memo from Microsoft that 30GB was "good enough".. (another joke, the "memo part".. lighten up folks)
No word on if any of their three spanking new HD-DVD players will actually read the new discs...

b2b
post #1636 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by b2bonez View Post

More news from the "News Thread"

Toshiba announces 50GB TL HD-DVD disc. I guess they didn't get the memo from Microsoft that 30GB was "good enough".. (another joke, the "memo part".. lighten up folks)

b2b


Most likely, someone didn't wanna play with HD DVD until they got their 50GB discs.......
post #1637 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobertR1 View Post

So if the Samsung Gen 2 player is cheaper and fully BD-Live compatiable than Gen 1 then all of a sudden this massive cost of full BD-Live support has disappeared in only the past few months? This is a tough pill to swallow.

Well that is a bit of exaggeration considering it is more like 9 months between the release of the two players. Also aren't you forgetting the improvements made in HD DVD players since the HD-A1? Granted the price hasn't gone down on the newer HD DVD players but I think most of us know the reason for that.


Quote:
Originally Posted by patrick99 View Post

I personally don't care that much about secondary video. What I am concerned about is whether discs with this feature will be completely unplayable on my first generation player. Are you telling me that my concern is unfounded, and that as long as I don't care about the secondary video feature, I will be able to access all other features on the disc without upgrading to a second generation or later player?

All Blu-ray movies will be able to play in BD-Video 1.0 players and it is only in the matter of certain features that will differ. Note that firmware upgrades may be needed for certain discs to play, but that is true for both HD formats.


Quote:
Originally Posted by scaesare View Post

Perhaps, seeing as how Talk, Richard, wco81, xbd, and others have all igonored my resquest for some easily accessible pulbic info cor a customer to educate themselves on BR profiles, perhaps you'd be kind enough to point me to some?

scaesare, only a few days ago I posted all the information I have heard about the Blu-ray profiles. Apparently you missed that so I will post it again.

This information came from various insider posts on this forum and not all of it can be proven, but personally I believe this information is accurate. There is one Blu-ray spec and four profiles in it including an audio only profile. Excluding the audio profile there are three profiles for video playback. BD-Video 1.0 is allowed until June of 2007 after which Blu-ray players must either be BD-Video 1.1 or BD-Live. For the sake of comparison I will include the requirements for HD DVD as well:

HD DVD:

128 MB of persistent memory required
SD PiP decoding required
secondary audio decoding required
internet support required

BD-Video 1.0 (allowed until June of 2007):

64 KB of persistent memory required
no SD/HD PiP decoding required
no secondary audio decoding required
no internet support required

BD-Video 1.1:

256 MB of persistent memory required
SD/HD PiP support required
secondary audio decoding required
no internet support required

BD-Live:

1 GB of persistent memory required
SD/HD PiP support required
secondary audio decoding required
internet support required
post #1638 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Paul View Post

Well that is a bit of exaggeration considering it is more like 9 months between the release of the two players. Also aren't you forgetting the improvements made in HD DVD players since the HD-A1? Granted the price hasn't gone down on the newer HD DVD players but I think most of us know the reason for that.


All Blu-ray movies will be able to play in BD-Video 1.0 players and it is only in the matter of certain features that will differ. Note that firmware upgrades may be needed for certain discs to play, but that is true for both HD formats.


scaesare, only a few days ago I posted all the information I have heard about the Blu-ray profiles. Apparently you missed that so I will post it again.

This information came from various insider posts on this forum and not all of it can be proven, but personally I believe this information is accurate. There is one Blu-ray spec and four profiles in it including an audio only profile. Excluding the audio profile there are three profiles for video playback. BD-Video 1.0 is allowed until June of 2007 after which Blu-ray players must either be BD-Video 1.1 or BD-Live. For the sake of comparison I will include the requirements for HD DVD as well:

HD DVD:

144 MB of persistent memory required
SD PiP decoding required
secondary audio decoding required
internet support required

BD-Video 1.0 (allowed until June of 2007):

64 KB of persistent memory required
no SD/HD PiP decoding required
no secondary audio decoding required
no internet support required

BD-Video 1.1:

256 MB of persistent memory required
SD/HD PiP support required
secondary audio decoding required
no internet support required

BD-Live:

1 GB of persistent memory required
SD/HD PiP support required
secondary audio decoding required
internet support required

That is a great comparison 'chart'! Thanks!

I have a question though, in another thread, Talkst8(sp?) mentioned that BR actually had two types of 'storage' ... persistent storage and local storage. Are the numbers you list a combination of the two? Or is the amount of 'local storage' per profile unknown still?

Also, how does HD-DVD compare to this? It only lists 144MB of 'persistent storage'. Amirm seemed to infer that this was storage for everything (so it would be compareable to local and persistent combined on the Blu-Ray side), right?

If that is the case, it looks like BR clearly has HD-DVD beat in this aspect ... with memory costs so low, why not just make a 1G or 2G minimum requirement? Or at least allow it to be upgraded via SD/CF/MS/USB-Flash or something ... (and that goes for both camps).

Or is there something super-secret also encrypted and stored on this media? If the Network/Internet features are a key focus, I would think the more storage you have on the player, the better.
post #1639 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobertR1 View Post

Most likely, someone didn't wanna play with HD DVD until they got their 50GB discs.......

The head scratcher is, why wasn't the offer of 45GB two years ago good enough?

They held out for 5GB?!

Toshiba should have offered 60GB and had them go HD DVD exclusive.

Gary
post #1640 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by dialog_gvf View Post

The head scratcher is, why wasn't the offer of 45GB two years ago good enough?

They held out for 5GB?!

Toshiba should have offered 60GB and had them go HD DVD exclusive.

Gary


Likely a sum of things:

failed promises from their current affiliate
wanting exact space on both for easy cross platform titles with the same level of content
post #1641 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by dialog_gvf View Post

The head scratcher is, why wasn't the offer of 45GB two years ago good enough?

They held out for 5GB?!

Toshiba should have offered 60GB and had them go HD DVD exclusive.

Gary

The next big question is this 50GB TL disc "really, really and we promise this time for true" going to get added to the HD-DVD spec ?? Remember the last go when the 45GB was floated out there, it was being sold as a "done deal" like all they had to do was sign the papers.
Quote:


Or for the most capacity, just pile on more high-capacity layers. In May 2005, Toshiba announced a triple-layer HD DVD disc at Media-Tech. The HD DVD 45 has a capacity of 45 GB (12 hours). The draft specification for the format has been submitted to the DVD Forum, and should be approved "later this year," says Knox.

Knox reports that triple-layer demo material should be available in the summer, and that existing players can read the format, requiring only a firmware change. The discs could be available in 2005, he says, "although the very beginning of 2006 is more likely for volume production."

http://www.manifest-tech.com/media_d...ulti_layer.htm

Are we going to hear another years worth of rumors like we had for the 45GB just for the sake of spin ?

b2b
post #1642 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobertR1 View Post

Likely a sum of things:

failed promises from their current affiliate
wanting exact space on both for easy cross platform titles with the same level of content

I could see them using the 50GB to say, "we have that for you". However, there are often unspoken things with feature requests. Like, "we want 50GB" when they really mean "we want 50GB with the bandwidth that would normally go with it". HD DVD and Blu-ray largely kept the same ratios between space and bandwidth that DVD had. It has been in the range of 1Mbps per 1GB for each. Going to 50GB while keeping the peak bandwidth at the same value as it is now for 30GB would mean straying from that range and ending up with a small peak bandwidth for that amount of space. Basically, only about 0.6 Mbps per 1GB. Or big-pool-but-small-hose.

If a Blu-ray exclusive studio told Toshiba that they would go neutral as soon as the 50GB discs are ready for them to release content on, I wonder how long before that studio would actually be neutral.

--Darin
post #1643 of 6336
How do they get 30 GB in the third layer?

Hey if this leads to higher bitrate movies from the neutral studios, I'm all for it.

You know, unllike the HD-DVD supporters who pooh-pooh BD-50.
post #1644 of 6336
It was very funny seeing HD-DVD supporters get so excited over 20 GB they say isn't necessary! The threads in the HD-DVD section are hilarious. But Amir says:

Quote:


The format is actually 51 gigabytes (17 gigabytes/layer). And it is just at technology proposal at this point. They would need to submit it to DVD Forum for approval. Once we are through that cycle, then one can determine whether it plays or does not (DVD Forum may modify their proposal before ratification).
post #1645 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by darinp2 View Post

I could see them using the 50GB to say, "we have that for you". However, there are often unspoken things with feature requests. Like, "we want 50GB" when they really mean "we want 50GB with the bandwidth that would normally go with it". HD DVD and Blu-ray largely kept the same ratios between space and bandwidth that DVD had. It has been in the range of 1Mbps per 1GB for each. Going to 50GB while keeping the peak bandwidth at the same value as it is now for 30GB would mean straying from that range and ending up with a small peak bandwidth for that amount of space. Basically, only about 0.6 Mbps per 1GB. Or big-pool-but-small-hose.

If a Blu-ray exclusive studio told Toshiba that they would go neutral as soon as the 50GB discs are ready for them to release content on, I wonder how long before that studio would actually be neutral.

--Darin

Now that I thought about more about it I remember Amir's story on Disney and that it wasn't the BD50's. Ofcourse, in light of other things, they could have changed their minds. As you stated, it might be a feature request or even more so, this might be just a PR response. If there is no discussion about HD50's at the next DVD Forum meeting then you can chalk it up to PR. Ofcourse you still have the issue of player compatiability and so forth. Soon HD media will get as messy as BD-J/BD-Live. Let's hope not


As for the announcements, HD DVD has done a good job covering the various pricepoints, esp. if the Lite On and other Chinese come in at a low entry cost. After all, this is about going after mass consumers. The BR studios content announcements should be telling on how important it is for HD DVD to pull studio support in the near future. If the Disney list that surfaced a few days ago is it from them, then it's nothing special. I fully expect LGF to go HD DVD at some point considering the XBox Live affiliation.
post #1646 of 6336
Picture from LG's demonstration of HD DVD playback



This pretty much illustrates that the popup menu shown in above picture seems some sort of OSD of the player, instead of "popup menu" rendered by HDi function. If so, it can play HD DVD title just as current DVD, switch audio and subtitle, do chapter skip and title jump, that's all.

One thing I can't imagine is, Warner titles directly go into feature without entering any sort of menu, so it's ok, but Universal titles go to Title Menu first. How the LG player will get to main feature without getting Title Menu?
post #1647 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rio View Post

Picture from LG's demonstration of HD DVD playback

This pretty much illustrates that the popup menu shown in above picture seems some sort of OSD of the player, instead of "popup menu" rendered by HDi function. If so, it can play HD DVD title just as current DVD, switch audio and subtitle, do chapter skip and title jump, that's all.

My only guess is that HD-DVD having a "standard content" authoring spec., is that they have also have a "standard content" player spec for core HDi menu functions (much like the standard menu functions for BD). And it would seem that LG is using that instead of using the "Advanced Authoring" features of HDi.

Rumor also has it the LG is a "PC" type player (not SoC) and they could be just using a PC type player SW ported to the box and letting the Broadcom chip do the decoding like a HW accelerator.

Just wild guessing, but they are pulling this off somehow, just no one seems to quite know how.

b2b
post #1648 of 6336
Sounds like the triple layer 51GB disc is death-knell for my add-on.

Blast you, toshiba and MS, if you go through with it. I want a free replacement for my player and movies.
post #1649 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob Zuber View Post

It was very funny seeing HD-DVD supporters get so excited over 20 GB they say isn't necessary! The threads in the HD-DVD section are hilarious.

hehe yeah. Here are some recent AVS soundbites (jokes follow, check your flame-throwers at the door please ):
(italics below mine)

1. BD50 is overkill. 30 GB is enough,

you price-jacking, greedy BD corps.

2. 30Mbps is enough bitrate, you MPEG2 loving, greedy BD studios. (I have the poll to prove that this is the PoV of majority of AVSers. Makes you feel all warm inside about the future of the science of AV, doesnt it? ) And finally..


3. "HD-dvd has 50GB! Now, we are equal. Bitrate? What bitrate? This is all about marketing the size aginst BD50. I am sure the bitrate will come around too, somehow, maybe."

"What do you mean if it doesn't? Um, well nvm. VC1 is getting more and more efficient."

"Who Ever said 30GB was enough? Senior insiders from major corps? They probably didnt know anything about encoding. They work on VC1? Really? OK, it must have been the party line. Now, we will see if the studios stay exclusive to BD, ha."

"Yeah ok, so mayybe some 175000 players are going to go bust, but you cant make an omelette without breaking the compatibility of 175000 players and 300 titles."

"Don't be silly, this has nothing to do with greed. They are looking out for you and listening to consumer feedback. Thus the HD50."
post #1650 of 6336
Quote:
Originally Posted by jdg345 View Post

Perhaps, but Developer Kits != Components. The RSX and Cell were ready at roughly the same time that the Xenos and Xenon Chipsets were.

Your point was that PS3 titles should be as mature as Xbox 360 titles, since the components were done at the same time. It doesn't matter when the components were done if developers can't get their hands on systems to actual develop and debug with!
Quote:


'Most' TV's cannot accept a 1080p Signal

This is true.
Quote:


Therefore, if a game is encoded solely in 1080p, the PS3 will only output in ... yup ... 1080p -- which means 'Most' people will be able to see that content in SD 480p

This is completely false. The PS3 will absolutely output 1080p content in 1080i if the display can't support 1080p.
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