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Will Projectors Replace TVs?投影机发展的预测

post #1 of 8
Thread Starter 
许多年前,比尔盖茨说以后每个人的桌上都会摆一台个人电脑,他的这一言论在当时遭到了普遍嘲笑。但今天,个人电脑已经成了人们办 公、娱乐以及联络必不可少的工具。而目前投影机似乎也走上了与当年个人电脑同样的道路,投影机体积日益轻巧、价格下降、功能更趋 人性化,再加上人们收入的增加、对休闲生活的重视,种种的理由都足以令我们相信,投影机普及于家庭只是时间问题了。

和几年前的彩电一样,投影机占领客厅只是时间早晚
每个新设备诞生初期总是不容易被接受,因为初期价格难免高昂,应用也难免生涩,这没法不让人怀疑它们的前景。当初的彩色显像管电 视就是这样,当时人们每月的工资还只有三、四百元,而一台25寸的彩电却卖到三千元或者更贵。用户买回家只能够通过天线收到有限 的几个频道,一般人都看到不到卫星信号,那时候录像机也没有广泛普及,就更不用说VCD、DVD了。但这种情况并没有持续很久, 有线电视的普及和VCD的兴起很快让每个家庭都把彩电当作了必备品。而现在,投影机进入客厅的障碍正在土崩瓦解。

高清信号的出现和家居面积的扩大,以及都市白领对于生活品质的追求都让大尺寸的显示需求日益明晰起来。这让原本只出现在公司和学 校的投影机一下子换了日常家电的面貌,重新走进我们的视野,而便宜又好用的家用投影机出现,更让所有人的目光顷刻凝聚过来。用不 了多久,它们就会大举占领客厅,迅速成为家庭视听娱乐的新宠了。

液晶、等离子电视靠边站,家用投影机让影院也黯然失色
这一两年液晶和等离子电视着实风光了一把,但是它们的好日子快要到头了。投影机画面尺寸的优势和相对低廉的价格让原本就昂贵的液 晶与等离子电视更加显得性价比全无。无论是液晶电视还是等离子,尺寸一旦达到37寸以上价格就基本上万了,而每提升一个尺寸级别 ,价格还会急剧提升,50寸的液晶电视就要卖到五、六万的天价。而相比之下,投影机的价格和画面尺寸几乎无关,一个几千块钱的投 影机,也能够轻松投射出100寸的画面。在DLP技术提供商德州仪器的推波助澜下,市面上已经出现了许多低于7000元的DLP 家用投影机,BenQ 最新推出的MP510,甚至创下国内投影机新低价4,999元。现在用户需要关注的只是选择什么分辨率的投影机,按照目 前投影机的平均价格,购买一台比较不错的40寸液晶电视的钱,就足够买一台WXGA分辨率的投影机,达到720p高清的画质水平 。而这两者能够带来的视觉冲击力,完全不是一个概念。

有的用户说我既不买平板电视,也不要投影机。看电影我一律去电影院,这样效果又好又便宜。没错,电影院音响声音大,画面尺寸也可 以用巨大来形容,但如果你精打细算一番,你会发现到电影院恐怕不是唯一选择。我们以一个两口之家每年看8场大片为例。票价假设为 每张40元,那么一年就要花费至少640元,而实际上有些电影的票价还要更高。另外,看电影的交通成本也是不能忽视的,电影院所 处的地段往往停车费都不低,而且来回路上因为塞车而额外增加的汽油消耗也都是问题。即便你乘坐公交,时间上的花费也够你折腾了。 而在家里用投影机看大片,这些顾虑一样都没有,你大可随心所欲地躺在沙发上。突然来了电话或者要去洗手间,也可以随时随地让DV D暂停播放,忙完之后再回来继续观看。有些用户可能会说投影机需要维护费用,这个确实,不过现在的投影机灯泡寿命都很长了,而且 灯泡价格也便宜了许多,等到投影机更加普及,灯泡需求量上升,其价格也会随之下降。

事实上,用户真正必须注意的是投影机核心技术的可靠性,目前市面上的投影技术以DLP与3LCD为主,DLP芯片的寿命长达10 万小时,以一天看8小时电视来算,看个30年画质还是维持一贯的水平;采用3LCD技术的产品虽然灯泡寿命和DLP投影机差不多 ,但是3LCD会有面板老化的情形,有时出现比较尴尬的情况是,灯泡寿命还没到,3LCD投影机的核心部件面板就先老化掉了,更 换LCD面板的价格可着实不菲,这是消费者选择投影机必须特别考虑的事项。对于家庭用户,实际需求更重要,而不只是几个参数不是 所有的投影机都适合家用的,普通的商用产品对于电视信号以及家庭用户支持不足,也不适合放在客厅。真正的家用投影机绝对不能够设 计成专业设备,必须查询操作手册才能使用,而且还要用户面对超过30个以上的遥控器按钮。这都会让大部分人丧失购买它们的勇气。 而庆幸的是,我们现在看到的家用投影机都有非常人性的设计。一些新近推出的DLP家用投影机更是让人眼前一亮,以富可视的IN2 4为例,除了能与电脑和视频设备相连之外,还兼容大多数标准 VCR、DVD 播放机、逐行扫描 DVD、HDTV 信号源、电视和卫星电视调谐器、摄像机、视频游戏机和激光影碟机等,满足用户的各项娱乐需求。另外,多数产品也都提供了自动侦测 、识别信号源的功能,实现与信号源同步,省去了用户自己调节信号的麻烦;而对于老是忘记关机的消费者,自动关机或关机提醒的功能 也是十分贴心的。

聪明的投影机,不在乎你家的墙壁是什么颜色
很多家庭用户还不能接受投影机都是因为投影幕布的事情,它们虽然价格并不高昂,但是却很占空间。很多用户在装修的时候没有预留给 幕布摆放的位置,而家中的墙壁却不是白色的。面对这种情况,有厂商开始推出具备傻瓜概念的家用投影机,实现投影背景色彩 的调解,让大屏幕投影在随时随地都成为可能。以BenQ最新的MP510为例,它会根据墙壁的不同颜色自动匹配背景色彩调节,你 可以在投影机里找到你的墙的颜色设定,在你的彩色墙面上也能投射出色彩正常的大片,尽情观赏,再也无需担心买幕布这档事。当然, 如果你的墙上装饰的是一幅莫奈的油画,那么任何投影机都是无能为力的。我不知道我要买多大的电视,那么电视墙怎么做在装修客厅的 时候是不是总被电视墙要做多大,电视柜怎么选而苦恼?因为你没法确定你最终会买多大的电视,而且你也不知道过多久你又会换一个更 大的。但是用家用投影机就不会有这样的问题,最普通的家用投影机也都具备变焦能力,你可以轻松改变画面的大小来适应你的墙面尺寸 ,而不用设计师设计一个电视墙去适应它。当你把投影机从一个房间挪到另一个房间的时候,也只需要轻松转动一下投影机的镜头就能够 重新获得最佳匹配尺寸。

20寸宽屏玩游戏? 落伍啦!
调研数据显示,国内有超过3千万个铁杆电脑游戏玩家,而且这数字还在快速的增长中,这些人里面有超过44%喜欢在家里打游戏机。 或许你一直都没有机会摆脱电脑狭小的屏幕来体验过游戏,建议你不妨到就近的电脑城看一眼,说不准就会找到正在用投影机演示高清游 戏的地方。这种新玩法能给你带来的感受和以前的电脑屏幕完全是两回事。最近推出的XBOX 360和PS3都开始提供对高清游戏的支持,栩栩如生的高清画质游戏更已成了游戏玩家的新宠。在100寸的高清大屏幕上玩极品飞 车,你的心跳也会跟着变得飞快,快速按下液氮喷射装置,你会发现飙车的感觉已经超过大型游戏机房了。你也许试过用刚买的高清液晶 电视玩飚车游戏,不过你应该已经发现拖尾的问题了吧?!液晶电视或3LCD投影机的响应速度赶不上游戏速度常是玩家们头痛的问题 ,这也让游戏玩家多半还是倾向于购买响应速度快过液晶显示器1000倍的DLP投影机。4999元的投影机,这一切只是开始最后 还是要提一下BenQ最新款售价5000元有找的MP510 DLP投影机,它的确为家用投影机的普及开了一个好头,让更多的人能够享受到真正的大画面带来的快感。或者你对于潮流的追求更高 ,不仅仅满足于入门产品的表现。那么仔细观察你就会发现,那些高端的家用投影机也远没有想象的昂贵。已经是时候张开双臂,拥抱你 的第一台家用投影机了。
post #2 of 8
No.
post #3 of 8
I second that.
post #4 of 8
NO. I doubt it. (or in your language: 以及都市白领对于生活品质的追求都让大尺寸的显示需求日益明晰起来。)

Hmmm...wonder what I actually said?
post #5 of 8
Here is the first paragraph for those interested. Google translate is pretty cool.

Many years ago, Bill Gates said the future everyone will be placed on a table in a personal computer. This time his remarks were widely ridiculed. Today, personal computers have become office, entertainment and contact indispensable tool. The current projection seems to have embarked on a personal computer and then the same road, the growing size of the projection light, the decline in prices function more humane, coupled with the increase in people's income, the importance of leisure time. All reasons enough to make us believe that the projection is only a matter of time for the universal family. A few years ago, and the color TV, the projection is only a matter of time occupying the living room early morning birth of every new equipment is not always easy to accept. inevitable because of the high initial price, the application of the best undeveloped, it has no alternative but harbor doubts about their prospects. This is the original color TV picture tubes, has a monthly salary of only three people were 400 million and a 25-inch color TV sales 3,000 yuan or more expensive. Home users to buy only a limited number of channels received through an antenna, most people have not seen the satellite signal, time recorders are not widely popular, say, VCD, DVD by. But this did not last long. the popularity and the rise of cable television will soon be available for each family regarded as a color TV essential goods. Now, the obstacles are collapsing projector into the living room. HDTV signal the emergence and expansion of the home area. and the quality of life for the pursuit of white-collar city have shown a growing demand for large-size clarified. This originally appeared in the company and the only school projector for the sudden appearance of everyday appliances. re-entered our perspective, cheap and easy home projection machine, but also gather up all the attention immediately. Using for a long time, they will be large-scale occupation of the living room, audio-visual entertainment is rapidly becoming the new darling of the family. LCD and plasma TVs to get out of the way. home theater projector for the last two years has overshadowed LCD and plasma TVs in the process of making scenery. But the good life is about to an end. The advantages of the projection screen size and relatively low price originally on expensive plasma TVs and liquid crystal Cost is no more. Either plasma or LCD TV, 37-inch above the price once they reach the size basically million. Each upgrade level of a size that will dramatically improve price, the 50-inch LCD TV will sell five, a dramatic 60,000. Compared to the projection screen size and the price is almost irrelevant, a cast of thousands of pieces of the plane impact. can easily reach 100-inch screen. The people in Texas Instruments DLP technology providers. There are a lot of the market has been less than 7,000 yuan of domestic DLP projector. The latest BenQ MP510, and even set a new low-cost domestic projector --4,999 million. Now users only need to pay attention to what the resolution of the projector, according to the existing investment in the average price of aircraft impact. The purchase of a 40-inch LCD TV quite good money, it would be sufficient to 50,000 yen Hiroshi resolution projector. meet the definition's 720p HDTV standard. This can bring both the visual impact, is not a concept. Some users say that I neither buy flat TV, not projector. I will go to the movies to see a movie, or a cheap effect. Yes, the voice of big cinema sound and picture size can also be used to describe great, but if you plan carefully about it, You will find that the cinema is probably not the only choice. We see a wife in each of eight large family as an example. 40 yuan for each fare assumptions, we should spend at least 640 yuan a year. In fact, higher fares and some film. In addition, the film transport costs should also not be ignored, the cinema parking lots are often low fee, Both sides of the road because of traffic congestion and fuel consumption are additional problems. Even if you use public transportation, you have enough to spend time after another. See large projector at home and these fears are not the same, you can pleases sofa. Suddenly the phone or go to the toilet, can be suspended at any time to allow broadcasting DV D, After a come back after watching. Some users may say vote
post #6 of 8
I do my translations in Microsoft Word using the WingDings font.
post #7 of 8
never will they replace tv's, this should be obvious in the fact projectors have been around for at least 10 years and flat screen tellys only about 3. And there are more flat screen tellys in peoples houses than projectors. Simply put projectors will never be usable in the amount of areas that the higher contrast ratio LCD or Plasma's are.
post #8 of 8
玩游戏? 落伍啦 You Too Buddy!
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