Originally Posted by trmas
The PS3 isn't a cute gaming system - it is a quality piece of equipment (Puts the 360 to shame where build quality is concerned). And as someone who knows people in Disney, you can forget about them going neutral. Disney believes they can end the format war by staying exclusive, as does most of the BDA. They want ONE format, and believe that Blu-Ray is the best available. I'd expect Universal to buckle before either Disney or Fox, statistically.
It may not be fair, but that is the way it will play out. The BDA knows that if they don't budge, they can win the war on sheer number of titles.
Exactly, and that's what's going to happen. Good thing too, since BD is a format with more future potential (and yes, that is
People have it in their head that it's formats
that should be competing with each other openly, and all studios should be neutral. No. Formats should in most ideal circumstances be standards
, and the CE manufacturers then *compete* within that standard, the movie studios compete - against each other - within
that standard. Format
competitions in the open marketplace lead to huge inefficiencies throughout the whole ecosystem; that's why these things are discussed behind closed doors, so that differences are hashed out ahead of time.
Well, it didn't happen this time - but you only have to look at the supporters of each format to see who the rightful heir to the DVD legacy is (and it's not the 'son' of DVD that deserves the throne here).
The BDA is going to win this for Blu-ray. They want Blu-ray to win (and yeah, that's the studios too).
Now... I see another ridiculous poll up today (in the AVS vein) indicating how half of the forum will never buy a BD in their lives etc etc... but the reality is, unless hatred of Sony takes priority over the film offerings of Sony, MGM, Disney, and FOX, most of those voters will in fact own a BD player before the year is out - if they are real
film enthusiasts. As soon as a under-$500 standalone makes it's way, the same poster that the week before was saying he'd rather die than own BD... will buy that player and own BD. Just like we've already seen so many instances of on this forum with the PS3 crossovers.
And Chinese CE manufacturers making cheap HD DVD players? Here's my take. First, are Circuit City and Best Buy even going to stock these things? And if so - it doesn't even matter if they're cheap; J6P isn't going to buy into the format war just to buy. And when he does
buy, I think a player that can play Pirates, Spiderman, and Ice Age will be a higher priority on his list than one that can play King Kong.