Originally Posted by spectra57
Those are both very informative articles. Thanks for the links. If they keep to their word it looks very promising. It is in their ( Movie Studios ) best interest to wait until 2010 or 2012 before they implement the ICT. If you think about it , the industry is actually asking the general public to replace their Entire Home Theatre System just to support HD. From the HD Player, the Media ( Movies) to the Plasma or LCD Monitor and AV Receiver ( for TrueHD Sound ) all with HDMI capatibility. That is just too much for everyone to swallow all at the same time.
Yes, that's what I meant by "temporarily tempered by good old pragmatic capitalism." If Hollywood was stupid enough to immediately invoke ICT with the inception of the high definition disc formats, they'd be throwing away 3 million potential customers owning analog HDTVs and all those newly released XBox Add-ons and PS3 gaming consoles that can currently play high definition discs that are not equipped with HDMI connections.
Even with the above devices as part of the current high definition market, the sales of Blu-ray discs and HD DVDs combined is still only a fraction of a percent of the total DVD market. Therefore, invoking the ICT would amount to essentially aborting the birth of the high definition formats on the date their release.
Originally Posted by spectra57
They need to be careful not to chase some of their potential consumers away and stay with Standard DVD and up converted players. Also there are a lot of people out there with a huge selection and investment in Standard DVD Movie Titles. Now they have to start a new collection.
Yes, there are many folks with large standard DVD collections and standard DVDs will continue to outsell the high definition formats for a long time. However, I should remind you that for those folks who wish to upconvert their standard DVD collections, they are going to have to upgrade at least one of their TVs and players to have DVI or HDMI connections anyway.
Most consumers have more than one TV, and usually the typical consumer will gradually replace their TVs and associated equipment. So once the primary TV is replaced with an HDTV with DVI or HDMI, now it makes sense to purchase an inexpensive upconverting DVD player (or a reasonally priced high definition player with upconversion capabilities). Once this decision is made, there is less of a burning need to start a completely new collection, and the investment in standard DVDs is preserved for many years. Not everyone has a large display. For smaller HDTVs the consumer may not see much of a difference between upconverted standard DVDs and high definition discs. For them it may make more sense to continue to purchase most of their discs in the less expensive standard format, converting it to near-HD quality.
One of the advantages that HD DVD has over Blu-ray is that all of their standalone players, some with street prices below $400, have excellent upconverting capabilities. Whereas the Blu-ray players with upconverting capabilities are selling for around $900 or more. However, I believe the first high definition player with upconversion capabilites to hit $200 will have a significant competitive advantage, and this milestone will mark the true beginning of the format war. At this price point the mass market will start to be attracted to HD, and preserving the value of their standard DVD collection will be an important selling point.