Originally Posted by silverado from HDD
Why are you looking forward to the 4th quarter? Could you be more specific.
Err... I meant that this is a list of summer releases that will hit the streets in the 4Q and is sorted by genre and current box office performance. In that sense I meant the phrase to be literal in that these are the major summer releases that we can look forward to seeing as coming up in the 4Q.
Now after saying that, in the sense that you took the phrase, I indeed am looking forward to the 4Q 2011 season and seeing the performance of these titles.
Last year the top 10 major box office performers that drove the 4Q revenues were dominated by animation and the Twilight teen vampire movie and only had two really most Blu-ray friendly action titles, Iron Man 2 and Inception in that group. Seven of the top 10 4Q releases from the summer movies were either family animation or comedies or the Twilight saga.
This year we will have six of the top ten movies be Blu-ray friendly superhero or action films besides the fact that Blu-ray is now getting higher market share in the lagging genres. There are a total of nine action movies that have done over $100 M that will hit during the fall from the summer releases.
Add into the fact that the Disney decision to place the latest Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides release and perhaps Cars 2 on a 30 day head start for the Blu-ray+DVD combo versions over the DVD only skus and that all implies that Blu-ray performance has the potential to be much stronger this fall than it was last year in the similar high volume time period.
So yes indeed, I am personally looking forward to see the sales performance of Blu-ray this 4Q as well.
Here's the same list of the 100 M + titles performance to date 2011 vs 2010 in box office ranking without the genre sort.
Color coded to Blu-ray genre performance.
There is a lot more Blu-ray friendly superhero action stuff this year compared to last year's family animation and teen vampire being more prominent.
$325,789,000 Transformers: Dark of the Moon
$274,182,000 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
$252,160,717 The Hangover Part II ,
$237,710,309 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides
$209,276,125 Fast Five
+$65,827,000+ Captain America: The First Avenger
$176,445,000 Cars 2
$160,458,602 Kung Fu Panda 2
$144,197,318 X-Men: First Class
$123,475,060 Super 8
$113,538,597 Green Lantern
+$94,355,000+ Bad Teacher
+$82,402,000+ Horrible Bosses
$415,004,880 Toy Story 3
$312,433,331 Iron Man 2
$300,531,751 Twilight Saga: Eclipse
$251,203,225 Despicable Me
$238,736,787 Shrek Forever After
$217,581,231 How to Train Your Dragon
$162,001,186 Grown Ups
$131,772,187 The Last Airbender
$119,219,978 The Other Guys
$105,487,148 Robin Hood
$103,068,524 The Expendables
+ these that were close
$95,347,692 Sex and the City 2
$90,759,676 Prince of Persia: Sands of Time