To me, the question is... after buying the movie that they bought the player for, what is left???
So let's says, because of the current price reducts, somebody jumps on board to get the Matrix Trilogy, what is left for them to say I WANT THAT!!!
Chances are, whomever is buying the player, may already have the SD of whatever is already out, so they're not double dipping. So that leaves future releases.
Heroes (box set, so it atleast it goes for more money to Universal)
I love HD-DVD, and am willing to shell out big money on a blind buy of Children of Men, Smokin Aces, Alpha Dog etc, but will the guy that just paid $300 for a player do it???
The obvious answer to the OP's question is yes, but it all boils down to how good/important Home Theater is to the purchaser!
I watched The Matrix Trilogy tonight, and I must say, the most impressive part of the entire experience was the SQ. Now, how many people have a sub/room powerful enough to make the experience good enough to say "I'm fully on board and willing to buy this/that/all"?
That is the whole quandary in a nutshell!! Home Theater is a niche market now, but we may not be far away from entering the general populous. How long that takes has a major influence on the "war". Now, if people would quit liking the likes of AI, we would be GOLD!!!!!!!