Originally Posted by tomes
Why do you anticipate there will be any discernible difference in cost of media or players further down the line? Mass production will most likely eliminate or very close to eliminate those factors.
Well I guess we're just on opposite sides of the "assumption fence". My first thought is that authoring is not likely to get easier given the platforms provided (HDi and BD-J). While BD-J is far more flexible, it comes at the cost of complexity and subject matter expertise/capability. While I suspect you can do quite few "really cool" things with BD-J that you cannot do with HDi, doing those things will require lots of extra time and capability, both of which require money. Second, BRD has replication problems, and at this point they've obviously not solved them (if they had, based on Sony's track record, they'd be screaming it from the top of every mountain with a press release every five minutes). I guess I don't make the assumption that any
manufacturing issue can be solved and scaled -- I've seen too many that couldn't be solved/scaled to believe in BRD at this point. Also, keep in mind that BRD has been around (in some form) for something like 6 to 8 years already, I think (started in Japan as a storage medium, I believe) -- my time frame could be off. In any case, to not have solved a manufacturing problem in even 3 years, or 2 years is a problem. So, again, I think the jury is still out on the feasibility of large scale, high yield, economic production of BRD. As with all things, YMMV.