Originally Posted by webphilosopher
It really makes no sense for Warner to announce this early that they intend to be BD exclusive "starting 2008," yet maintain that they will "honor their commitment to HD DVD" and release all 2007 announced titles for HD DVD. Once they make the announcement, releasing on HD DVD would be pointless. Everyone knows how important Warner is for the outcome of this format "war." Even if they intend to become Blu-ray exclusive, it would make economic sense to "lead on" HD DVD owners at least until the end of the holiday season and then make the announcement, as many have suspected they had intended to do in the other direction -- namely, to give Blu-ray owners hope so that they would buy lots of Warner discs this holiday season. If they announce now, the only sensible route would be a clean break from the abandoned format. This isn't like Paramount's announcement: Nobody thought that would end the format war. Paramount could have kept making Blu-ray discs for a while, and they would not be selling a doomed format to supporters who knew it was doomed.
Let me put it more succinctly: Even if this supposed switch to BD is factual, what would it profit Warner to make this announcement at this time, yet not really act upon it until 2008? The only thing that might make sense is a leak that would force Warner to make an announcement earlier than it had planned.
The writer says, "I'm some one you guys already know (and perhaps you have read my posts before)." This is someone who is writing under a new username, either because he has been banned or because he has become unbelievable. He is changing handles because he wants to be taken seriously for a change, and people have laughed at his predictions in the past. He is someone who has fallen out of favor with both HD DVD and BD supporters, and he needs to get their approval again. If it should, by some miracle, happen at the appointed time, he would reveal his true and former identity and be redeemed rather than reviled.
Whatever the merits of the post content, this is the safest way for this very immature poster to get attention from others. He is crying out for recognition. He writes: "If the announcement doesn't come through, you can blame me all you want and ban me from the site." Okay, so he is willing to let his brand new username be banned from the site if he is wrong; but he will announce his old username if he happens to be right. This is a win/win tactic from a poster who is tired of being called a loser.
The poster tries to hide behind a new username and yet keeps talking about himself. He can't reveal himself, not because he would get into trouble over some non-disclosure agreement, but because he is afraid of being laughed at. This is clearly an adult with teenage emotions.
Why would an offer with Toshiba expire December 2007? Which part of December? The beginning? The end? The announcement will be at 10 A.M., but Toshiba's contract with Warner can't be pinned down to a part of December? And how can the offer expire until the last player with one in the box is sold? Will Warner ask Toshiba to rip the discs out of the boxes of the third generation players that are sold after such and such time?
Why would he want everyone to send him a Blu-ray movie as a bonus? He probably doesn't own any Blu-ray movies, maybe doesn't even have a Blu-ray player, can't afford either the player or the movies. If he were well-stocked, this statement would never even appear in his attention-getting attempt.
I apologize if this rambles a bit. It is late, and I am a bit tired. I am usually better at parsing texts like this. But I really do feel that this is someone on emotional life-support who needs a big "prophecy" to come true in order to be redeemed in the eyes of others who have made him a laughingstock or so he thinks.
It is very likely that he really believes that this is going to happen, that he talked to two "insiders" (low level employees) who said this was going to happen, and he bought it himself (again). Or maybe he was fed this misinformation simply because his "sources" knew it would make him go over the top.
Certainly, anything can happen these days, if enough money changes hands. The content of the post may well turn out to be true. It would be a sheer accident, and any such announcement won't be made tomorrow. But I don't think it will be because the poster is reliable. The whole tone of the post smacks of juvenile behavior, like that of the kid who wants any attention -- even bad attention -- he can get from his classmates or teachers.
Anyway, just my idle speculations about this strange post.