Originally Posted by mva5580
I think there are many good points in that article covered over a very short amount of space:
1) Sony pricing itself out of the market was about the DUMBEST thing I've seen in consoles in a long, long time. And their conceited act towards the market and just flat assuming that everyone would buy one no matter what was pathetic. For that attitude alone, they deserve any struggles they get.
2) The fact that neither of these formats could end up "winning." I think this is very realistic, and will most likely be the result. I don't see any chance that either one of these formats replaces dvd, at best it's a niche format for the audio/video buffs. I think HD-DVD/Blu-Ray can be compared to a high end receiver/surround sound speaker setup. Something that many people think is interesting and cool, but just not something they see being worth spending the money on. DVD's will be "good enough" for 8 out of 10 people who walk into Best Buy, Circuit City, or wherever.
3) Speculation about what's next with the studios. Will Warner go HD-DVD only? Disney neutral? Again, Sony's epic screw-ups are causing them problems that they just shouldn't have. The PS3, with Blu-Ray built-in, SHOULD have been easy sailing for this format. But they've messed it up in so many ways, it's just given HD-DVD time to grow, time to mature, and most importantly time to bring the prices of their hardware down to prices that a lot of people won't feel bad about asking for an HD-DVD player for Christmas because of the price.
I honestly don't care who "wins," but I totally agree with this guy in the sense that Blu-Ray is almost to the point where it can't win. It should be miles ahead right now and the fact that it's not is probably making all those Blu-Ray studios wonder why they're sticking around.
I don't have any reason to think that Warner is going HD-DVD exclusive anytime soon, but if they do, that could pretty much be game over. Who's going to go into Blockbuster Video and care about Blu-Ray rentals when the only studios they can choose from are Sony, Fox, and Disney? HD-DVD would more or less have EVERYTHING else at that point. And IF Warner goes to HD-DVD, I can't see both Disney and Fox staying exclusive to Blu-Ray. One or the other would go neutral, at least.
Personally I think all the Warner rumors are nothing more than that. But if it happens, I think Blu-Ray has about a year left. Tops.