Originally Posted by billybob_jcv
You seem to forget how expensive DVD players were before the flood of low-cost Chinese mfrs hit the market. It's competition and plentiful supply that lowers the price - regardless of whether that comes from mfrs producing the same format, or from a different format. I suspect that if name brand HD-DVD players were able to stick it out at around $99 (and there was decent media available), there is no way blu-ray players would still be over $200.
Manufacturers will naturally keep prices as high as they possibly can for as long as they possibly can. With anything new there's a minority
group of "early adopters" who are willing to pay a premium to be the first. Arguably we're still burning through that group both from a hardware and software perspective. Once the early adopter market is saturated prices have to
drop to bring in the remaining majority
of the market. I stand by my assertion that HD-DVD was keeping prices higher - because the existence of 2 nominally equivalent but incompatible technologies was keeping many early adopters sitting on the fence. I'd have been happy with either HD or BR winning but thank goodness one did eventually or players would still cost $500 or more and I'd still be holding out - not wanting to invest in a technology that may be obsoleted. I'll grant that prices were a little lower during the end game fight between HD and BR and that HD-DVD drastically dropped their prices in a valiant yet futile effort once the proverbial writing began to appear on the wall. But the early adopters still had to be captured before we could see any decline in pricing and that couldn't happen until a single technology became the standard. (Unfortunately it seems likely that live streaming will quickly challenge Blu Ray).
One interesting phenomenon is the dramatic decline in DVD prices now that VHS has gone completely by the wayside and studios have already made the major investment to digitize their catalogs. I'm assuming most if not all of these digitization projects were very high resolution from the get go - so presumably it actually costs less to bring a movie to BluRay than it did to originally bring one to DVD . . . food for thought!