This week's numbers will come from sales occuring from November 19 until November 25.
Another week is in the books (sort of) and another one begins. Once again, we get marketing tricks as the two consortiums strive for dominance.
The Blu team has the larger lineup of titles this week, lead by the Die Hard franchise, including this summer's Live Free or Die Hard. Also available is a box set of all the DH movies and each previous title separately. The other, notable title is Hairspray from New Line. While New Line is a neutral studio, Hairspray is a timed exclusive on BD. For those not familiar with the term, that means it is going to come to HD DVD, but not until later. The cynical among us might say this is one way WB/NL is testing the sales impact of dropping one format.
Speaking of neutral studios, Warner brings us a Led Zepplin concert.
HD DVD also has a sparse line up this week with only 2 titles exclusive to the format. First is Universal's Tremors, an oddly timed title as it would have fit in with last month's holiday theme more than this one. Second, and last, is Paramount's HD remaster of the classic Star Trek. This title has been long awaited and hotly debated as it is coming out only on HD DVD combo disk. That's right, there is no SD only version of this release. This tactic has long been touted as HD DVD's weapon of mass destruction to unleash. Predictions for its sales range from selling on the order of a regular DVD box set, to a failed DVD box set, still making it a hot selling HD title, to an HD flop/middle seller.
No matter what you believe, this is one of the titles that were a major part of the coup in getting Paramount exclusive. The others have failed to win HD DVD a week in the Nielsen/Video Scan Numbers. Can Captain Kirk, aided by an Amazon promo that is shifting 3 free movies with every A3 sold, finally beam up a win or will John McClain bring the Enterprise down by crashing his car into it? We find out on Friday, November 30th.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Please make your prediction with BD:HD even if you are going to predict HD DVD winning the week. Also, you are predicting the BD numbers, the HD DVD is implied. If I am confused, I will ask you for clarification if there is time before the deadline. Otherwise, you are stuck with how I read it.
This thread is not for the discussion of math, the advantages or disadvantages of either format, an analysis of the Nielsen numbers, any other source of sales figures (unless they are a reason you are making your prediction) or any insults.
I will post my prediction around 23:59 Eastern time Wednesday. My prediction marks the end of the entry period. You may change your prediction any time up until then.
Again, nothing but predictions and the odd, friendly comment on other people's predictions.
Nielsen contest entries for 11/30/2007
New Releases included in this weeks numbers:
HD DVD
Tremors (Universal)
Star Trek: The Original Series - Season One (Paramount)
Led Zeppelin: The Song Remains the Same (Warner)
BD
Badder Santa: The Unrated Version (Buena Vista)
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause (Buena Vista)
Hairspray (New Line)
Die Hard (Fox)
Die Hard 2: Die Harder (Fox)
Die Hard with a Vengence (Fox)
The Die Hard Collection (Fox)
Live Free or Die Hard (Fox)
Pathfinder (Fox)
Rescue Dawn (MGM)
Led Zeppelin: The Song Remains the Same (Warner)
Another week is in the books (sort of) and another one begins. Once again, we get marketing tricks as the two consortiums strive for dominance.
The Blu team has the larger lineup of titles this week, lead by the Die Hard franchise, including this summer's Live Free or Die Hard. Also available is a box set of all the DH movies and each previous title separately. The other, notable title is Hairspray from New Line. While New Line is a neutral studio, Hairspray is a timed exclusive on BD. For those not familiar with the term, that means it is going to come to HD DVD, but not until later. The cynical among us might say this is one way WB/NL is testing the sales impact of dropping one format.
Speaking of neutral studios, Warner brings us a Led Zepplin concert.
HD DVD also has a sparse line up this week with only 2 titles exclusive to the format. First is Universal's Tremors, an oddly timed title as it would have fit in with last month's holiday theme more than this one. Second, and last, is Paramount's HD remaster of the classic Star Trek. This title has been long awaited and hotly debated as it is coming out only on HD DVD combo disk. That's right, there is no SD only version of this release. This tactic has long been touted as HD DVD's weapon of mass destruction to unleash. Predictions for its sales range from selling on the order of a regular DVD box set, to a failed DVD box set, still making it a hot selling HD title, to an HD flop/middle seller.
No matter what you believe, this is one of the titles that were a major part of the coup in getting Paramount exclusive. The others have failed to win HD DVD a week in the Nielsen/Video Scan Numbers. Can Captain Kirk, aided by an Amazon promo that is shifting 3 free movies with every A3 sold, finally beam up a win or will John McClain bring the Enterprise down by crashing his car into it? We find out on Friday, November 30th.
IMPORTANT NOTE: Please make your prediction with BD:HD even if you are going to predict HD DVD winning the week. Also, you are predicting the BD numbers, the HD DVD is implied. If I am confused, I will ask you for clarification if there is time before the deadline. Otherwise, you are stuck with how I read it.
This thread is not for the discussion of math, the advantages or disadvantages of either format, an analysis of the Nielsen numbers, any other source of sales figures (unless they are a reason you are making your prediction) or any insults.
I will post my prediction around 23:59 Eastern time Wednesday. My prediction marks the end of the entry period. You may change your prediction any time up until then.
Again, nothing but predictions and the odd, friendly comment on other people's predictions.
Nielsen contest entries for 11/30/2007
Code:
NAME BD:HD lonestarwings 80:20 ehomer 75:25 geko29 74:26 badboi 73:27 Winn 73:27 splinters 72:28 Jim Morrison 72:28 anttimonty 71:29 SGRSBSKIER 71:29 JackBee 71:29 wipron 71:29 Reylas 71:29 Husso 70:30 ataxic_dentist 70:30 tonngo0 70:30 Robert Spalding 70:30 frizshizzle 70:30 digicam95 70:30 merv43 70:30 hassoon 69:31 dc_pilgrim 69:31 CRFTony 69:31 edgebsl 69:31 Aresca 69:31 phansson 69:31 UxiSXRD 69:31 fitprod 69:31 Raxel 69:31 Rooper 69:31 DanTou 68:32 jkwest 68:32 TheCuze 68:32 Ronin_R6 68:32 neillkirn 68:32 TPigeon2006 68:32 LynxFX 68:32 manikin 68:32 Woodshed 68:32 Azumi 68:32 extra_hc 68:32 stefanpaulmayer 68:32 huntaar 68:32 tiger roach 67:33 eightninesuited 67:33 Rich Peterson 67:33 RDarrylR 67:33 spacejamz 67:33 Evan702 67:33 Sketcha 67:33 MASrules 67:33 MRMOTA 67:33 JimboTHX1138 67:33 Elwar 66:34 Chris NYC 66:34 ICBM99 66:34 Kemet 66:34 JAC6 66:34 IntoTheBlu 66:34 mossman22 66:34 wrobe73928 66:34 gljvd 65:35 khwiggins2 65:35 JoeFigueiredo 65:35 gdeep 65:35 Leviathin25 65:35 soremekun 65:35 chirpie 65:35 audiomixer 65:35 trondmm 65:35 user friendly 65:35 lomax 65:35 Calamus 64:36 ninjanki 64:36 habscolts 64:36 Vov76 64:36 shamus 64:36 elikhom 64:36 sciolist 64:36 ricwhite 63:37 ToddUGA 63:37 crimsona 63:37 donricouga 63:37 allargon 63:37 Will d s 63:37 JeffY 63:37 Assayer 63:37 nyg 62:38 basano 62:38 CochiseGuy 62:38 PrinceLH 62:38 gand41f 62:38 venk 62:38 jwdav 62:38 yampan 61:39 m1cst4rr 61:39 Brian Hampton 61:39 Optica 61:39 Greg Kettell 61:39 ottscay 61:39 Everdog 61:39 Bill0711 61:39 GizmoDVD 61:39 Kable 60:40 caesartheboxer 60:40 mswoods1 60:40 hammie34 60:40 Baccusboy 60:40 aaronwt 60:40 online 60:40 plazman 60:40 theflux 60:40 Grubert 60:40 eurotrance 59:41 Clark Burk 59:41 Lbarber 59:41 William 59:41 Andy_Dandy 58:42 dmcfan 58:42 dildatonr 58:42 coolhand 58:42 Jocky Wilson 58:42 bato 58:42 bolaar 58:42 vancamp 56:44 roadmanc 55:45 rcutlass70 55:45 Numanoid101 55:45 PopcornReady 55:45 alfbinet 55:45 iontyre 55:45 Blu-Devil 55:45 todrigo 55:45 randori 54:46 Steve Schauer 54:46 studiotan 54:46 Chris_TC 53:47 GmanAVS 53:47 darinp2 53:47 bori 52:48 chipvideo 52:48 Vader 52:48 bigdaveman 50:50 xradman 50:50 user4avsforum 50:50 jwebb1970 50:50 Kosty 49:51 rdjam 49:51 BuGsArEtAsTy 49:51 george king 48:52 SquirrelPhister 47:53 kcmurphy88 47:53 MattHD 46:54 Jonto81 45:55 briankmonkey 40:60 Shmack 30:70 kkozma 30:70
New Releases included in this weeks numbers:
HD DVD
Tremors (Universal)
Star Trek: The Original Series - Season One (Paramount)
Led Zeppelin: The Song Remains the Same (Warner)
BD
Badder Santa: The Unrated Version (Buena Vista)
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause (Buena Vista)
Hairspray (New Line)
Die Hard (Fox)
Die Hard 2: Die Harder (Fox)
Die Hard with a Vengence (Fox)
The Die Hard Collection (Fox)
Live Free or Die Hard (Fox)
Pathfinder (Fox)
Rescue Dawn (MGM)
Led Zeppelin: The Song Remains the Same (Warner)
