Even though we are talking about consumer formats, I wonder if professional formats could be an indicator of how the consumer market will evolve. When I first started working in post production in the early 90’s there were many different video and audio formats in use that required dedicated playback machines. Including: DA-88, DAT, Quad, 1-inch, ¾-inch, BetaSP, M2, D1, D2, DigiBSP, D3, D5, HDCAM. Not to mention film and other consumer formats that were also used in a professional environment like CD, VHS and DVD.
But I think that the last professional playback device that required a dedicated playback machine was HDCAM SR, introduced in 2003. The only exception I can think of is new memory card formats, like XQD. There have been new codecs and new connectors (ie FireWire, USB 3, etc), but I don’t think there’s been a new professional physical format in over 15 years. And there aren’t going to be any more. Everything is file based.
So I predict consumer formats will go the same way. There will be new codecs, but there won’t be another physical software format for audio or video. Just like SACD and DVD-A will be the last physical formats for audio, UHD BluRay will be the last physical format for video. My prediction is there may be another Kalidescape type device that will allow downloads at a higher quality than UHD Blurays. Or maybe it will be a software solution where you connect a low powered computer (like a cheap Mac mini) to your TV and download Hi-res movies to your local drive.
Last edited by meli; 02-07-2019 at 11:38 PM.