Originally Posted by mrpickem
There is always a chance but based on history the absolute best prices a the week leading up to BF and through that weekend. Otherwise you will see good discounts late Jan-Early Feb for Super Bowl sales. The only other significant drops will come at end of model year when they closeout previous year. Them discounts will depend on several factors including relevancy, excess stock and demand. I still see deals on 2018 C8 and E8 models.
Honestly the window just passed for absolute best deal(s). The closeouts may be at a better price point but by then you would most likely be looking at newer models.
You've been staying on top of WOLED pricing far more consistently than me, and of course there is also the gap between 'official' pricing and discounted unofficial online pricing, but what you've stated isn't quite correct, certainly for official pricing and my impression is also for discounted unofficial online pricing as well.
For sure, Black Friday season is when LG offers a significant official discount to drive major sales into the Holiday Season ($2700 with multiple discounts to $2600 and one short-lived drop to $2400 for the 65C8 versus generally discounted pricing of $2800 around that season).
The result is a huge increase in sales volume and commensurate drop in inventory levels and so LG typically increases pricing after the Black Friday shopping season is over after New Years (back to $3000 in the case of the 65C8).
This causes sales to slow and inventory levels to recover heading into Super Bowl Season when LG will typically get back close to 'base discount levels' ($2700 in the case of the 65C8) where pricing will stay depending on inventory levels until the new-year model is released (modulating between $2700 and $2800 in the case of the 65C8).
Once the new-year model is released, some retailers offer short-lived exceptional discounts to flush all of their inventory, if you are fast enough / lucky enough to catch them ($2000 for the 65C8). This was the best-ever pricing offered for the 65C8 through Amazon (23% below Black Friday Season Pricing and 17% below the very short-lived Black Friday Exceptional Dip).
After that, pricing returns to base levels as retailers burn through old model year inventory while new model year inventory is building and is priced at full MSRP (early adopter's tax) in the period prior to first discounts on the new model year pricing which is when everyone gets serious about flushing out any remaining old model year inventory and discounts accordingly (to $2500 in the case of the 65C8, +/-$100 or 4% from Black Friday levels).
So if you are very fast on your toes, you can generally catch the best possible pricing in the Spring when the new model year launches and if your not feeling lucky enough to catch that short-lived opportunity, you will generally be able to get a bit below Black Friday levels after late June when discounting on the new model year begins.
All of this is of course for semi-official pricing through Amazon, but I believe the general pattern is not that different through the unofficial online discounters (though the swings / % of their pricing moves is generally more muted).