Originally Posted by jmpage2
I'm not arguing with your logic, my snark is around LGs comments that 2019 was going to be the year for larger OLED screen sizes. Those volumes mean less than .01% of TV purchases in the US will probably be 77 OLEDs and that's combining all manufacturers.
My snark too - I bought the comment hook, line, and sinker and believed it would be meaningful, like a 10X increase in production levels.
On the other hand, to LG's credit, entry-level 77" WOLED launch MSRPs are dropping by over 20%, while similar launch MSRPs at 55" and 65" are staying flat. And since you can purchase a 2018 77C9 for $4500 today (half of launch MSRP) from a mainstream retailer, that lower MSRP could translate to discounted pricing of $3500 on the 77C9 one year from now...
So there is a credible view that in LG's eyes, this is the 'year of 77" OLED TV' (but the 10X production increase I'd been hoping for is not going to happen).
How many 75Q90 will Samsung sell at MSRP $4999? I bet more.
Samsung has almost 50% market share in the '75"-and-above' segment: https://news.samsung.com/global/next...reen-tv-market
"The share is even higher for 75-inch and larger TVs, reaching up to 47.4% share based on number of units sold. This means that one out of every two extra-large TVs sold worldwide is a Samsung TV.
When someone goes into buy a 75 inch set and decides they want something higher end than a Vizio, TCL or lower end Sony they are going to be looking at the $7,000 LG and comparing it to the $5,000 Samsung. If the Samsung is even CLOSE in picture performance they are going to sell more sets
, even with LG having full HDMI 2.1 support.
Absolutely. I would guess that Samsung will sell over 10-times the number of 75" LED/LCDs compared to total 77" OLED TV sales this year (as was certainly the case last year). But these are not all goin to be 75Q90s - most will be 75Q60s (or 75Q70s, whatever Samsung's least-expensive 75" TV is).
Just my guess anyways. Yes, I'm bitter. For me the price difference is not $2,000 between these two sets it's $3,000 since I get a healthy discount on the Samsung.
If the Samsung is not a dog and Samsung delivers a handful of HDMI 2.1 features via a firmware update I'm probably going to go with that, which disappoints me, I would have preferred the OLED display.
Or settle for a smaller screen. The 65C9 should be an outstanding TV and by 2021 when 75" WOLEDs cost less than 1/2 of what they do today, you can probably sell it for a large portion of what you'll pay for a 75C21...
LG has put much more priority on the 55" and 65" Premium TV segments than they have into the 75/77" Premium TV Segment. This no-doubt has something to do with the fact that once their new 10.5G manufactiring line is up and running in 2021, it will be able to produce 75" WOLED panels for less than 1/2 of what a 77" WOLED panels costs them today...