Originally Posted by Greyimporter
If we are to believe that the lockdown slowed the spread of the virus and that this was necessary, we should be expecting a huge spike in new infections as they partially reopen parts of America. I wonder how they will react to that news. Will they go back to full lockdowns or admit it has all been a waste of time and that 40 million people lost their jobs for nothing... Same question if there is no spike... This is the part where common sense gets lost. If the lockdown was necessary (or effective), why are we partially opening up now? What has changed? We sill don't have mass testing or a cure or a vaccine. No fewer people are infected. There is no logic to a "phased reopening". It's just going to cause additional damage for zero benefit. If even one person still has the virus, we'll be wherever we would have been with no lockdown at all in short order. This thing all started with one person and spread worldwide in months. An infected person is still contagious for up to two weeks with no symptoms.. Apparently... 50% of people never show symptoms (while still infecting others). Now it's suddenly OK to open a restaurant with outside seating but not inside and only in some states (despite open borders). It's OK to go to the grocery store and Home Depot and now for haircuts (in some states only) but not schools or offices. It's nonsense!
Remember a portion of the population has developed antibodies so even though we may not hit an absolute herd immunity target, we have hit a point which will contribute to slowing further spread. Once the body produces the correct antibody its extremely effective and could provide 2-3 years of immunity and subsequent reinfection past that should produce the correct antibody again.
“We screened about a billion antibodies,” Ji said. “And we found about 100 of them to characterize further. From them we selected about a dozen that had neutralizing activity... Then, working with collaboration partners at the University of Texas Medical Branch, which has access to the live virus, they were able to screen the dozen antibodies for the most promising ones... We’re actually so impressed with the data,” Ji said. “One of the antibodies is so powerful that at a very low concentration it is able to 100% completely prevent infection or inhibit the infection. In our studies, not even one virus escaped from the antibody.”
People under 20 are significantly less likely to be infected making up only 5% of confirmed cases, so that group wont show in antibody tests.
These describe the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions and indicates only 10% of cases are contagious
I do agree though, are society is not setup to handle an event like this at all, and this is just a novel coronavirus with an IFR around 0.5-0.75%.
Originally Posted by Greyimporter
We were told that our doctors apparently found that covid 19 is so infectious that medical staff were getting sick from just going into the room a carrier has coughed in. A dust mask will not protect against microscopic viral spores.
Where masks are effective is for the contagious, and with coronavirus just surgical masks are extremely effective.
"We detected coronavirus in respiratory droplets and aerosols in 3 of 10 (30%) and 4 of 10 (40%) of the samples collected without face masks, respectively, but did not detect any virus in respiratory droplets or aerosols collected from participants wearing face masks
, this difference was significant in aerosols and showed a trend toward reduced detection in respiratory droplets"