I'm not doubting the price will drop I'm doubting the price will drop enough by the end of the year for me to want to buy it if it does not come out till the fall.Well if you use the same logic as the EC9300 which has been out for 9 months. It's gotten a 43% drop from release price ($3500 down to $2000). 71% of the ($6999 MSRP). So if the EG9500 is at $5500, a 43% drop would put it at $3,135 and a 71% drop would put it at $1600. I think it's far more likely that it'll hit the $3k number but I don't see it out of reason that it'll hit between $3-3.5k by end of the year/black friday. Especially with ramped production, the flat model out, and a supposed HDR optimized set being released late in the year.
Not saying it will happen that way, but I'd be willing to bet there's a good chance. $2k on the other hand likely won't happen at all or not for at least a year from now.
If it comes out now then it has a chance to hit below $3500 by the fall. I would then try and view one in person and hopefully the ports spec's and HDR Yes/No issues will be ironed out by then.
If all this is a go and the ports are good, TV looks good in person and HDR is at least a possibility and it hits $3500 then I will certainly heavily consider it even though it will still probably be $1000 more than the JS8500 will be at the time.
I can tell you that the JS8500 is sufficiently future proof with what we know now I cannot say the same thing about the 55EF9500.
I will pay $1000 more for the OLED tax but only if it is sufficiently future proof given what we know now.