Regarding the recent article "EMA Predicts Blu-ray to Outsell DVD in 2012"As a retired numbers professional statistics can be easily manipulated to foresee a multitude of future trends. Even though I fully support high definition video in all forms such a prediction seems overly ambitious and more to the point not realistic.
Just think about what it will take to bring about the mass conversion of the everyday person to BR. Do analyst seriously believe BR movies will drop down to $13-$19 and players to the $50-$150 range in 3.5 years. Does anyone expect to find BR movies in the $7.50 discount racks at Wal-Mart by 2012? Do these so called experts also believe the masses will move from their converted analog televisions or bargain brand HD units to displays capable of delivering the true HD quality found in BR? The success in BR lies in the selling of the whole package, i.e. display, cabling, sound and of course the movie.
Just consider the current initiatives by Netflix, Directv, Dishnetwork, AT&T and others. While not to the level of BR readlily availabe HD programing including movies are as close as your remote control. This market is going to continually evolve and grow.
My gosh, look at the mess that is taking place with the mandatory conversion to DTV! People will not totally embrace this conversion (DTV) until forced. Meaning, convert or no more picture.
In closing, Outside of divine intervention, I do not forsee any forthcoming event that will push the general mass populace from standard to high definition DVD's. Success of a mass transistion will require a re-education of the consumer, the devaluation of all high definition necessities and a marketing campaign of the century.
Any and all comments welcomed.
LouisPlease Note. I must apologize. For some reason, the text of my message is not showing up in its default color so for those of you using a light colored background a black font edition of my thread follows. Since my conversion of Firefox to version 3.0 a number of text related issues have occurred.
Regarding the recent article "EMA Predicts Blu-ray to Outsell DVD in 2012"As a retired numbers professional statistics can be easily manipulated to foresee a multitude of future trends. Even though I fully support high definition video in all forms such a prediction seems overly ambitious and more to the point not realistic.
Just think about what it will take to bring about the mass conversion of the everyday person to BR. Do analyst seriously believe BR movies will drop down to $13-$19 and players to the $50-$150 range in 3.5 years. Does anyone expect to find BR movies in the $7.50 discount racks at Wal-Mart by 2012? Do these so called experts also believe the masses will move from their converted analog televisions or bargain brand HD units to displays capable of delivering the true HD quality found in BR? The success in BR lies in the selling of the whole package, i.e. display, cabling, sound and of course the movie.
Just consider the current initiatives by Netflix, Directv, Dishnetwork, AT&T and others. While not to the level of BR readlily availabe HD programing including movies are as close as your remote control. This market is going to continually evolve and grow.
My gosh, look at the mess that is taking place with the mandatory conversion to DTV! People will not totally embrace this conversion (DTV) until forced. Meaning, convert or no more picture.
In closing, Outside of divine intervention, I do not forsee any forthcoming event that will push the general mass populace from standard to high definition DVD's. Success of a mass transistion will require a re-education of the consumer, the devaluation of all high definition necessities and a marketing campaign of the century.
Any and all comments welcomed.
Louis
Just think about what it will take to bring about the mass conversion of the everyday person to BR. Do analyst seriously believe BR movies will drop down to $13-$19 and players to the $50-$150 range in 3.5 years. Does anyone expect to find BR movies in the $7.50 discount racks at Wal-Mart by 2012? Do these so called experts also believe the masses will move from their converted analog televisions or bargain brand HD units to displays capable of delivering the true HD quality found in BR? The success in BR lies in the selling of the whole package, i.e. display, cabling, sound and of course the movie.
Just consider the current initiatives by Netflix, Directv, Dishnetwork, AT&T and others. While not to the level of BR readlily availabe HD programing including movies are as close as your remote control. This market is going to continually evolve and grow.
My gosh, look at the mess that is taking place with the mandatory conversion to DTV! People will not totally embrace this conversion (DTV) until forced. Meaning, convert or no more picture.
In closing, Outside of divine intervention, I do not forsee any forthcoming event that will push the general mass populace from standard to high definition DVD's. Success of a mass transistion will require a re-education of the consumer, the devaluation of all high definition necessities and a marketing campaign of the century.
Any and all comments welcomed.
LouisPlease Note. I must apologize. For some reason, the text of my message is not showing up in its default color so for those of you using a light colored background a black font edition of my thread follows. Since my conversion of Firefox to version 3.0 a number of text related issues have occurred.
Regarding the recent article "EMA Predicts Blu-ray to Outsell DVD in 2012"As a retired numbers professional statistics can be easily manipulated to foresee a multitude of future trends. Even though I fully support high definition video in all forms such a prediction seems overly ambitious and more to the point not realistic.
Just think about what it will take to bring about the mass conversion of the everyday person to BR. Do analyst seriously believe BR movies will drop down to $13-$19 and players to the $50-$150 range in 3.5 years. Does anyone expect to find BR movies in the $7.50 discount racks at Wal-Mart by 2012? Do these so called experts also believe the masses will move from their converted analog televisions or bargain brand HD units to displays capable of delivering the true HD quality found in BR? The success in BR lies in the selling of the whole package, i.e. display, cabling, sound and of course the movie.
Just consider the current initiatives by Netflix, Directv, Dishnetwork, AT&T and others. While not to the level of BR readlily availabe HD programing including movies are as close as your remote control. This market is going to continually evolve and grow.
My gosh, look at the mess that is taking place with the mandatory conversion to DTV! People will not totally embrace this conversion (DTV) until forced. Meaning, convert or no more picture.
In closing, Outside of divine intervention, I do not forsee any forthcoming event that will push the general mass populace from standard to high definition DVD's. Success of a mass transistion will require a re-education of the consumer, the devaluation of all high definition necessities and a marketing campaign of the century.
Any and all comments welcomed.
Louis
