How long til HD players drop to $250 or less ?

Forecast based on insider comments:


HD-DVD: December 2007


Blu-Ray: December 2009


And guessing:


Multi-Player: December 2010



Quote:
Originally Posted by thebland /forum/post/0


2008 for both formats....(unless my crystal ball is out of whack).

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Your crystal ball IS out of WACK!


December 2007 for HD DVD


And per Sony President...Blu-ray 2009!

http://www.tvpredictions.com/bluprices011707.htm

Quote:
Quote:

News
Sony: $299 Blu-ray Player In 3 YearsCompany executives say price declines will follow DVD history.

By Phillip Swann


Washington, D.C. (January 17, 2007) -- Waiting for those $999 Blu-ray players to drop under $500?


Well, you may have to wait awhile. Sony says it could be three years before the player drops to $299 or $399.


In an interview with CNET's News.com, Sony President Stan Glasgow noted that DVD player prices took a few years before they reached more affordable levels.


"If you go back to when DVDs came into play, it took about three years until they got into price points of $299 to $399. I suspect it's about the same thing here with Blu-ray. I think it's going to take up to three years to get down to those price points, possibly a little longer," Glasgow said.

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Quote:
Originally Posted by alluringreality /forum/post/0


Gladly... it\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\'s $50 more than I\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\'d probably get on ebay.

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do you think no one would check ebay?

REPLACE ***** WITH EBAY . COM

http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-H...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-H...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-D...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-D...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-D...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/TOSHIBA-HD-D1-H...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-D...QQcmdZViewItem


http://cgi.*********/NEW-TOSHIBA-HD-...QQcmdZViewItem

http://cgi.*********/Toshiba-HD-A1-D...QQcmdZViewItem



Quote:
Originally Posted by Sean_O /forum/post/0


HD DVD players: Before the year is up.


Blu Ray players: Not until the PS3 hits that price point, ie not for a long long time unless Sony changes their current 'PS3 is lowest priced BD player on the market' strategy.

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pretty much agree. bd is basically a ps3-only format. the CEs better switch to hd dvd or pretty much assume they aren't going to sell anything.


...or...


they do undercut the ps3 price and the ps3 goes into an even bigger sales dive.


anyway if xbox buyers will buy an add-on to get hd dvd, then ps3 buyers that watch movies will buy hd dvd standalones for

I have no doubt that most PS3 owners have played Blu-ray movies. However, I also suspect that the rate of movies purchased by PS3 owners is lower on average than the rate by people with standalone Blu-ray and standalone HD DVD players, as well as lower than the rate by people with the Xbox 360 HD DVD add-on.

Quote:
Originally Posted by 1loudsuv /forum/post/0


do you think no one would check ebay?

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A lot of eBay auctions have outrageous shipping prices.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jayselle /forum/post/0


The Toshiba HD-A1 is $250 at Best Buy new in the box. Assuming they have any in stock.

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I got one last month for less than US$200 (Future Shop in Canada), but it was a demo, with no box so no free movies. However, I'm not sure the HD-A1 really counts for the $250 price target, because it's a discontinued model.


In any case, I do think the driving force for price will be the Chinese players. They will have a lower MSRP and a lower wholesale price than Toshiba players and players from other companies. My November 2007 - April 2008 prediction is based on when I think the Chinese players will actually hit the North American market.