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Discussion Starter · #1 ·
Welcome to the third week of the second contest. By participating in this thread you are agreeing to the following:


1- Nielsen/VideoScan gets a statistically significant amount of sales data. It does not get all data, but the amount it gets is far more than sufficient to be useful and statistically significant.

2- If the studios had aligned differently, things would be different. See, we all agree on that now. There is no need to discuss it ad nauseam.

3- If not for BOGOs and other sales, things would be different.

4- If Winn doesn't carry Super Tuesday, the world is going to pot.

5- Studios have made decisions based on factors confessed to and not confessed to. What those factors are is irrelevant to any possible on topic discussion in this thread.

6- People make predictions based on a wide variety of assumptions and for different reasons. Do not make fun of the person make fun of the pick, especially if it does not add up to 100%.

7- Saying the real contest is now Blu-ray vs. DVD and then posting the ratio for that is not witty or clever. Oh, it might have been when it was done the first time. That is in the past. All it does now is make the poster look petty.

8- We don't need format war posts in here. However, saying things like "This was a good week for Blu." or "I think this may be a trend where HD DVD gains back some market share." is not a format war post if you back it up and are using it as a basis for your prediction. Saying "HD-DUD is so dead!" or "Poo-ray is teh suxxor!" is a format war post, and, quite frankly, is very unimaginative.

9- While discussion of the various calendars is fascinating, this is not the place for it.

10- This list is likely to get longer as time goes by.


If you are unable to follow these rules, you will get a warning. If you break them again, I will put you on ignore. Actually, you will likely be asked by the mods to not post in the thread again.


With that out of the way, on to the fun stuff.


January is behind us and February is here. It brings with it an increase in the number of new releases. However, HD DVD continues its slow start with one title, Strauss: Die Fledermaus, from Opus Arte. It will still be a few weeks before HD DVD gets its next big title.


Blu-ray has a larger lineup this week. They get their timed exclusive on Invation from Warner this week (though some stores are breaking the street date on the HD DVD). Sony has a trio of titles the first season of the Damages TV show, Daddy Day Care and Monty Pythons Life of Brian. Wait, Life of Brian is out? Ok, gotta hurry up so I can head to the store.


There are also three neutral titles this week.

IMPORTANT NOTE: Please make your prediction with BD:HD even if you are going to predict HD DVD winning the week. Also, you are predicting the BD numbers, the HD DVD is implied. If I am confused, I will ask you for clarification if there is time before the deadline. Otherwise, you are stuck with how I read it.


The prediction period will close at 5 P.M Eastern time. That is 2 P.M. for those of you in Pacific time. This will get us ahead of the leaks. The numbers on February 8th will cover sales from January 28th-February 3rd, inclusive.


Nielsen contest entries for 02/08/2008

Code:
Code:
[B]NAME                BD:HD[/B]
tusloj              99:1
coneyparleg         94:6
sky69               93:7
Robert SawyerIII    91:9
30XS955 User        90:10
lvbeethoven         90:10
badboi              88:12
nyg                 88:12
bplewis             87:13
JamesDFarrow        87:13
Newbie              87:13
gand41f             87:13
JAC6                87:13
carljanderson       87:13
manikin             86:14
tiger roach         86:14
Mel2                86:14
soremekun           86:14
frizshizzle         86:14
Woodshed            86:14
Calmus              86:14
William             86:14
torsteinvh          86:14
Bronco70            86:14
thebland            85:15
fitprod             85:15
MarekM              85:15
GP_23               85:15
Ktak                85:15
DarkAdept           85:15
Random Digital      85:15
spacejamz           85:15
MRMOTA              84:16
torse_jack          84:16
Icemage             84:16
klac                84:16
brianmonkey         84:16
swedcrip            84:16
dstewart            84:16
galperi1            84:16
TheSimplePanda      84:16
patrick99           84:16
Vyrance             84:16
Monty22001          84:16
Rob Tomlin          84:16
phansson            84:16
ottscay             84:16
Slirp               84:16
diatom              83:17
ifmracin            83:17
Aresca              83:17
chirpie             83:17
shamus              83:17
theforce8686        83:17
BuGsArEtAsTy        83:17
trondmm             83:17
TPigeon2006         83:17
bato                83:17
basano              83:17
Greg Kettell        83:17
cakefoo             83:17
Sketcha             83:17
elikhom             82:18
MASrules            82:18
dumbswede           82:18
dc_pilgrim          82:18
Will d s            82:18
LonePirate          82:18
bolaar              82:18
HuntzHD             82:18
jkwest              82:18
neillkrin           82:18
Jackietreehorn      82:18
John Ryder          82:18
dpags               82:18
eightninesuited     82:18
UxiSXRD             82:18
edgebsl             81:19
jling84             81:19
ADGrant             81:19
nickoakdl           81:19
rcutlass70          81:19
bluescreen          81:19
donricouga          81:19
ehomer              81:19
Rich Peterson       81:19
Richard Paul        81:19
Steve Schauer       81:19
Fran O'Hern         81:19
merlintl            81:19
tomsteeper          81:19
user friendly       81:19
MrPorterhouse       81:19
h0mi                81:19
rlsmith             81:19
Myxamatosis         81:19
dildatonr           81:19
opfreak             81:19
fredwi              80:20
Leviathan25         80:20
ts.enigma           80:20
Dreessen            80:20
caesartheboxer      80:20
nick_weasel         80:20
allargon            80:20
lomax               80:20
Jagt Mirage         80:20
Neo1965             80:20
theflux             80:20
Jiffylush           80:20
Loc13               80:20
iamitman            80:20
bommai              80:20
aaronwt             79:21
willyd              79:21
ICBM99              79:21
jmcq                79:21
crimsona            79:21
anttimonty          79:21
rcase13             79:21
Lbarber             79:21
SGRSBSKIER          79:21
Maxphoenix5         79:21
Bendertv            79:21
Jallopy             78:22
datobin1            78:22
bigdaveman          78:22
darinp2             78:22
AZHTGeek            78:22
mike179179          78:22
Jblacklow           77:23
d3code              77:23
Rezo                76:24
online              75:25
jwebb1970           70:30
Shmack              65:35
Namnuta             60:40
norliss             58:42
Again, nothing but predictions and the odd, friendly comment on other people's predictions.

HD DVD

Strauss: Die Fledermaus (Opus Arte)

King of California (First Look)

Garden (Warner Music Group)

Dispatch: Zimbabwe - Live at Madison Square

Blu-ray

Daddy Day Camp (Sony)

Monty Python's Life of Brian (Sony)

Damages: The Complete First Season (Sony)

Justin Timberlake: Live at Madison Square Garden (Sony BMG)

Invasion (Warner)

King of California (First Look)

Garden (Warner Music Group)

Dispatch: Zimbabwe - Live at Madison Square
 

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Discussion Starter · #2 ·
Nielsen contest entries for 02/01/2008

Code:
Code:
[B]NAME                BD:HD[/B]
toon12              92:8
Robert SawyerIII    91:9
eskimo2176          91:9
thebland            90:10
badboi              89:11
shamus              89:11
dobyblue            89:11
galperi1            89:11
jmcq                89:11
bryansj             89:11
veniex              89:11
torse_jack          88:12
desmond212          88:12
jling84             88:12
lvbeethoven         88:12
MarekM              88:12
Earz                88:12
Mel2                88:12
theforce8686        88:12
splinters           88:12
ehomer              88:12
Winn                88:12
kampsy              88:12
fitprod             87:13
Icemage             87:13
manikin             87:13
nick_weasel         87:13
Aresca              87:13
chirpie             87:13
GP_23               87:13
JamesDFarrow        87:13
Newbie              87:13
rcutlass70          87:13
TheSimplePanda      87:13
gand41f             87:13
LonePirate          87:13
nyg                 87:13
spacejamz           87:13
klac                86:14
Ktak                86:14
nickoakdl           86:14
swedcrip            86:14
DarkAdept           86:14
MASrules            86:14
Will d s            86:14
Fran O'Hern         86:14
user friendly       86:14
MrPorterhouse       86:14
jkcheng122          86:14
Joon TV             86:14
trondmm             86:14
jaewon              86:14
Azumi               86:14
d3code              86:14
ifmracin            85:15
darinp2             85:15
frizshizzle         85:15
Jblacklow           85:15
Bill0711            85:15
TPigeon2006         85:15
Assayer             85:15
lomax               85:15
patrick99           85:15
whoelse             85:15
Kemet               85:15
Random Digital      85:15
Jiffylush           85:15
jkwest              85:15
Monty22001          85:15
crimsona            85:15
soremekun           84:16
dstewart            84:16
Richard Paul        84:16
Steve Schauer       84:16
Vyrance             84:16
extra_hc            84:16
Greg Kettell        84:16
Jagt Mirage         84:16
Neo1965             84:16
neillkrin           84:16
Woodshed            84:16
Calmus              84:16
carljanderson       84:16
rlsmith             84:16
SGRSBSKIER          84:16
UxiSXRD             84:16
ottscay             84:16
Jackietreehorn      84:16
John Ryder          84:16
Weekly Stats
Code:
Code:
Week    Picks   Perfect High            Actual  Low             Mean    Median  Mode
1       164     6       91* (8) [48]    83      60 (23) [110]   80.55   80.5    78
2       152             92                      60              83.13   84      84

*Guess of 100% ignored as they are technically impossible due to truncating.
 

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Discussion Starter · #3 ·
Ok, here is how this round is going to work. The game might end at any time. If we get up to 10 weeks, anyone who made 8 guesses will be prize eligible. The contest will automatically end at 15 weeks. Anyone with 12 guesses at that point is prize eligible. Anyone who made a full 15 guesses will have their worst guess removed for the final scoring for prizes.


Once again I am putting up a $10 gift certificate. Someone jokingly suggested donating a player as a prize and I am going to run with that idea. I will be accepting prize donations. If anyone has two copies of a movie and want to donate one or got a movie in a giveaway they just do not want, here is a way to get rid of them instead of trying to get a buck for them on eBay.
 

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90:10
 

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ICBM99 /forum/post/13001558


79:21


Here's hoping.

70:30 - upping your "hope" ante, ICBM99!
 

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I'll try lowballing it again:


77:23
 
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